Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:08:04

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

68
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
21.5/25
Win Rate
3.0/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality 68.4/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 68.1

30-Day Momentum

73
+28.2%
30d Return
64%
Win Rate
11
Trades
2.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 81.1 Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,864
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
123 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$44,794.32
Current Value
$52,660.18
Period P&L
$7,865.90
Max Drawdown
-36.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
56
Winners / Losers
25 / 31
Best Trade
+12.63%
Worst Trade
-12.53%
Avg Trade Return
+0.50%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$5,615,249.47
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$7,865.90
Net P&L (after fees)
$7,865.90
Gross Return
+17.56%
Net Return (after fees)
+17.56%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 123 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 56 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $44,794.32 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 10:55am ET $46.76 954 $44,609.04
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 9:30am ET $44.54 954 $42,495.45 $42,537.60 $-2,113.59
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 10:30am ET $40.45 1,051 $42,512.95
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 2:40pm ET $42.48 1,051 $44,646.48 $44,671.13 +$2,133.53
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 10:10am ET $42.25 1,057 $44,652.97
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $39.22 1,057 $41,450.26 $41,468.42 $-3,202.71
(-7.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 10:30am ET $35.66 1,163 $41,466.77
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 10:40am ET $34.57 1,163 $40,209.91 $40,211.56 $-1,256.85
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $32.16 1,250 $40,203.00
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 10:35am ET $30.85 1,250 $38,562.50 $38,571.06 $-1,640.50
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 11:45am ET $31.78 1,213 $38,549.14
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $35.80 1,213 $43,419.34 $43,441.26 +$4,870.20
(+12.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 11:55am ET $35.94 1,208 $43,415.52
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET $39.60 1,208 $47,830.76 $47,856.50 +$4,415.24
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 11:05am ET $43.46 1,101 $47,849.46
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET $45.78 1,101 $50,408.62 $50,415.66 +$2,559.16
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 10:30am ET $44.64 1,129 $50,398.56
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 9:30am ET $46.98 1,129 $53,034.78 $53,051.88 +$2,636.22
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23h held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 9:30am ET $47.73 1,111 $53,028.03
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET $42.21 1,111 $46,894.98 $46,918.82 $-6,133.05
(-11.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 10:50am ET $40.90 1,147 $46,906.57
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 9:30am ET $35.77 1,147 $41,028.42 $41,040.68 $-5,878.15
(-12.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 11:10am ET $38.28 1,072 $41,036.37
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 9:30am ET $42.07 1,072 $45,099.04 $45,103.34 +$4,062.67
(+9.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 10:45am ET $43.17 1,044 $45,065.83
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $47.50 1,044 $49,585.93 $49,623.45 +$4,520.10
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
11d held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 1:20pm ET $49.51 1,002 $49,609.52
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $53.49 1,002 $53,596.98 $53,610.90 +$3,987.46
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.2h held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:30am ET $51.60 1,039 $53,607.21
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET $49.42 1,039 $51,342.19 $51,345.88 $-2,265.02
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23h held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 11:15am ET $53.86 953 $51,328.58
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:50am ET $56.58 953 $53,915.98 $53,933.28 +$2,587.40
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 12:35pm ET $54.86 983 $53,927.38
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $59.78 983 $58,761.77 $58,767.67 +$4,834.39
(+9.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.9h held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 11:15am ET $60.62 969 $58,740.78
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $57.43 969 $55,644.83 $55,671.72 $-3,095.96
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:50am ET $63.49 876 $55,617.24
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 1:00pm ET $61.56 876 $53,926.56 $53,981.04 $-1,690.68
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 10:20am ET $60.72 889 $53,980.08
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $65.50 889 $58,229.50 $58,230.46 +$4,249.42
(+7.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 2:00pm ET $70.95 820 $58,179.00
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $68.16 820 $55,894.23 $55,945.69 $-2,284.77
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 10:30am ET $60.99 917 $55,927.83
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 10:05am ET $64.36 917 $59,017.94 $59,035.80 +$3,090.11
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 10:40am ET $61.26 963 $58,993.38
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 12:35pm ET $59.28 963 $57,086.64 $57,129.06 $-1,906.74
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 12:35pm ET $49.94 1,144 $57,125.64
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 2:30pm ET $52.86 1,144 $60,471.84 $60,475.26 +$3,346.20
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9h held
25 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $52.73 1,146 $60,428.58
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $57.49 1,146 $65,889.27 $65,935.95 +$5,460.69
(+9.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.1h held
26 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:20pm ET $64.29 1,025 $65,897.25
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $64.17 1,025 $65,771.79 $65,810.49 $-125.46
(-0.2%)
📅 Sim Ended
2.6h held
27 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $61.71 1,066 $65,777.95
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 11:55am ET $64.88 1,066 $69,162.08 $69,194.61 +$3,384.12
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held
28 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 1:25pm ET $67.57 1,023 $69,129.22
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 3:10pm ET $65.43 1,023 $66,934.89 $67,000.28 $-2,194.33
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
29 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 12:15pm ET $66.06 1,014 $66,984.84
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 11:10am ET $63.95 1,014 $64,845.30 $64,860.74 $-2,139.54
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
30 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 1:30pm ET $69.23 936 $64,799.28
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 9:50am ET $67.14 936 $62,843.04 $62,904.50 $-1,956.24
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
31 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 1:15pm ET $61.67 1,020 $62,903.40
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $58.17 1,020 $59,333.40 $59,334.50 $-3,570.00
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
32 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $54.90 1,080 $59,292.00
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 10:20am ET $53.15 1,080 $57,407.40 $57,449.90 $-1,884.60
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
33 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 1:20pm ET $56.33 1,019 $57,405.36
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 12:30pm ET $54.31 1,019 $55,341.89 $55,386.43 $-2,063.47
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held
34 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 12:55pm ET $51.79 1,069 $55,363.51
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:10pm ET $50.02 1,069 $53,471.38 $53,494.30 $-1,892.13
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
35 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:20pm ET $55.60 962 $53,487.20
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $53.85 962 $51,803.70 $51,810.80 $-1,683.50
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
36 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $53.35 971 $51,802.75
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:55am ET $50.88 971 $49,404.38 $49,412.43 $-2,398.37
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
37 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 10:50am ET $51.61 957 $49,394.79
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $54.86 957 $52,501.02 $52,518.66 +$3,106.23
(+6.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
38 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 11:25am ET $54.25 968 $52,515.36
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $49.06 968 $47,490.08 $47,493.39 $-5,025.27
(-9.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
39 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:55am ET $53.73 883 $47,443.59
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 10:25am ET $51.66 883 $45,615.78 $45,665.58 $-1,827.81
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
40 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:30am ET $55.61 821 $45,655.07
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET $53.59 821 $43,997.39 $44,007.90 $-1,657.68
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
41 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 12:30pm ET $54.86 802 $43,995.47
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 10:20am ET $57.65 802 $46,235.30 $46,247.73 +$2,239.83
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held
42 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 10:20am ET $53.06 871 $46,215.26
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 10:55am ET $51.07 871 $44,483.71 $44,516.18 $-1,731.55
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
43 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 12:40pm ET $47.35 940 $44,509.00
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET $45.41 940 $42,685.40 $42,692.58 $-1,823.60
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
44 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $52.86 807 $42,658.02
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $47.12 807 $38,025.84 $38,060.40 $-4,632.18
(-10.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.4h held
45 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET $53.88 706 $38,039.21
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 11:05am ET $52.25 706 $36,888.50 $36,909.69 $-1,150.71
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held
46 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:55pm ET $66.36 556 $36,896.16
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:45am ET $70.07 556 $38,958.86 $38,972.39 +$2,062.70
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held
47 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $76.45 509 $38,913.05
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:50pm ET $80.39 509 $40,918.51 $40,977.85 +$2,005.46
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
48 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 11:50am ET $83.84 488 $40,913.92
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 12:55pm ET $79.91 488 $38,996.08 $39,060.01 $-1,917.84
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
49 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 2:10pm ET $86.68 450 $39,003.80
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $92.75 450 $41,737.50 $41,793.71 +$2,733.70
(+7.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.3h held
50 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:05am ET $92.64 451 $41,780.64
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $98.35 451 $44,353.60 $44,366.67 +$2,572.96
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held
51 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 3:05pm ET $103.86 427 $44,348.22
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET $110.87 427 $47,341.49 $47,359.94 +$2,993.27
(+6.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.5h held
52 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 3:45pm ET $127.50 371 $47,302.50
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:45am ET $122.00 371 $45,263.11 $45,320.55 $-2,039.39
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
53 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:45am ET $113.45 399 $45,266.55
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:25am ET $109.76 399 $43,794.24 $43,848.24 $-1,472.31
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
54 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 12:00pm ET $115.15 380 $43,757.00
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $121.85 380 $46,303.00 $46,394.24 +$2,546.00
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held
55 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 11:10am ET $126.51 366 $46,302.66
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:00am ET $133.07 366 $48,704.39 $48,795.97 +$2,401.73
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
56 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $144.53 337 $48,707.79
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $156.00 337 $52,572.00 $52,660.18 +$3,864.21
(+7.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $52,660.18
Net Profit/Loss: +$42,660.18
Total Return: +426.60%
Back to Marcus Reversal