Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:58:22

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
68.5 neutral
20d Trend
+6.3%
5d Trend
+4.4%
EMA20 Dist
+5.2%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 5.4/100
× Confidence 0.88 = 4.7

30-Day Momentum

1
-5.9%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
52,856
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
528 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,162.49
Current Value
$5,980.19
Total P&L
$-3,182.31
Max Drawdown
-36.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.16

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
57
Winners / Losers
21 / 36
Best Trade
+5.67%
Worst Trade
-7.28%
Avg Trade Return
-0.64%
Avg Hold Time
11.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$917,921.27
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,182.31
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,182.31
Gross Return
-34.73%
Net Return (after fees)
-34.73%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CMCSA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 528 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $9,162.49 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 26, 2024 1:15pm ET $38.23 236 $9,021.10
🔴 SELL May 28, 2024 9:30am ET $38.56 236 $9,098.98 $9,102.33 +$77.88
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
31.8d held
2 🟢 BUY May 29, 2024 12:05pm ET $38.14 238 $9,077.32
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2024 9:35am ET $36.95 238 $8,794.10 $8,819.11 $-283.22
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2024 10:40am ET $37.01 238 $8,808.38
🔴 SELL Jun 28, 2024 9:35am ET $38.89 238 $9,254.99 $9,265.71 +$446.61
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
10d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2024 10:30am ET $38.57 240 $9,255.60
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2024 11:35am ET $37.40 240 $8,976.00 $8,986.11 $-279.60
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2024 2:50pm ET $37.54 239 $8,970.87
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2024 11:05am ET $39.44 239 $9,424.97 $9,440.21 +$454.10
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 18, 2024 9:30am ET $40.33 234 $9,437.22
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2024 9:40am ET $38.98 234 $9,120.15 $9,123.14 $-317.07
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2024 9:40am ET $37.78 241 $9,104.98
🔴 SELL Jul 26, 2024 9:45am ET $39.67 241 $9,560.47 $9,578.63 +$455.49
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2024 2:45pm ET $40.43 236 $9,541.48
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 9:35am ET $38.95 236 $9,191.02 $9,228.17 $-350.46
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2024 3:00pm ET $39.03 236 $9,211.08
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2024 3:00pm ET $39.71 236 $9,371.56 $9,388.65 +$160.48
(+1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 6, 2024 3:50pm ET $39.61 237 $9,386.39
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2024 10:15am ET $38.42 237 $9,104.36 $9,106.62 $-282.03
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 13, 2024 12:05pm ET $39.74 229 $9,099.32
🔴 SELL Sep 27, 2024 10:20am ET $41.75 229 $9,560.75 $9,568.06 +$461.44
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2024 1:25pm ET $41.58 230 $9,562.25
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2024 1:25pm ET $42.37 230 $9,745.10 $9,750.91 +$182.85
(+1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
13 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2024 2:10pm ET $43.43 224 $9,727.20
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2024 9:30am ET $42.10 224 $9,430.40 $9,454.11 $-296.80
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8d held
14 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2024 2:40pm ET $43.57 217 $9,453.61
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2024 9:35am ET $42.09 217 $9,133.53 $9,134.03 $-320.07
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2024 9:35am ET $38.64 236 $9,119.04
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2024 11:40am ET $37.46 236 $8,840.56 $8,855.55 $-278.48
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2024 10:15am ET $37.79 234 $8,841.69
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2025 9:30am ET $36.44 234 $8,525.79 $8,539.65 $-315.90
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
16d held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 10, 2025 10:00am ET $36.80 232 $8,537.60
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2025 9:30am ET $34.12 232 $7,915.82 $7,917.87 $-621.78
(-7.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20d held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2025 1:30pm ET $33.51 236 $7,908.38
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2025 11:45am ET $35.19 236 $8,304.84 $8,314.33 +$396.46
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
10.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2025 2:00pm ET $35.06 237 $8,310.07
🔴 SELL Mar 7, 2025 10:20am ET $37.05 237 $8,780.85 $8,785.10 +$470.78
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8d held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2025 11:55am ET $37.35 235 $8,776.08
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2025 3:50pm ET $36.22 235 $8,511.70 $8,520.73 $-264.38
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2025 9:30am ET $35.81 237 $8,486.97
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2025 1:45pm ET $34.73 237 $8,231.01 $8,264.77 $-255.96
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2025 3:55pm ET $35.76 231 $8,259.41
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2025 10:10am ET $37.69 231 $8,705.24 $8,710.60 +$445.83
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.8d held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2025 11:25am ET $37.44 232 $8,684.92
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2025 9:30am ET $36.21 232 $8,400.72 $8,426.40 $-284.20
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:45am ET $36.06 233 $8,402.21
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 10:00am ET $34.96 233 $8,145.68 $8,169.87 $-256.53
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 10:05am ET $32.78 249 $8,162.22
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 1:30pm ET $34.57 249 $8,606.69 $8,614.33 +$444.46
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 11, 2025 11:10am ET $33.38 258 $8,610.75
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2025 9:30am ET $32.18 258 $8,301.15 $8,304.73 $-309.60
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.9d held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2025 11:30am ET $33.84 245 $8,289.58
🔴 SELL May 16, 2025 9:45am ET $35.55 245 $8,709.75 $8,724.91 +$420.17
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.9d held
28 🟢 BUY May 19, 2025 12:35pm ET $35.38 246 $8,702.25
🔴 SELL May 29, 2025 11:10am ET $34.29 246 $8,434.11 $8,456.77 $-268.14
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.9d held
29 🟢 BUY May 30, 2025 12:45pm ET $34.33 246 $8,445.18
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2025 9:30am ET $35.53 246 $8,740.38 $8,751.97 +$295.20
(+3.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30.9d held
30 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 12:50pm ET $36.27 241 $8,741.48
🔴 SELL Jul 11, 2025 9:30am ET $35.13 241 $8,465.13 $8,475.61 $-276.35
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.9d held
31 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2025 9:30am ET $34.94 242 $8,454.27
🔴 SELL Jul 25, 2025 9:50am ET $33.76 242 $8,168.71 $8,190.05 $-285.56
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
32 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2025 9:50am ET $33.46 244 $8,163.02
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2025 3:50pm ET $32.45 244 $7,918.09 $7,945.12 $-244.93
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3d held
33 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2025 3:50pm ET $33.20 239 $7,934.80
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2025 3:50pm ET $32.18 239 $7,689.83 $7,700.15 $-244.98
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
34 🟢 BUY Aug 8, 2025 11:50am ET $31.82 242 $7,699.84
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2025 12:50pm ET $33.44 242 $8,091.27 $8,091.58 +$391.44
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
35 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2025 11:35am ET $33.65 240 $8,075.98
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2025 11:10am ET $32.64 240 $7,832.40 $7,848.01 $-243.58
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
27d held
36 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2025 2:45pm ET $32.25 243 $7,837.84
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 9:30am ET $31.20 243 $7,581.60 $7,591.76 $-256.24
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.8d held
37 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2025 9:30am ET $30.72 247 $7,587.84
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 11:35am ET $29.80 247 $7,359.37 $7,363.29 $-228.47
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held
38 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 12:35pm ET $29.62 248 $7,344.52
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2025 2:30pm ET $28.73 248 $7,123.80 $7,142.57 $-220.72
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
16.1d held
39 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2025 2:30pm ET $27.61 258 $7,122.09
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 9:30am ET $26.61 258 $6,864.09 $6,884.57 $-258.00
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19h held
40 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 9:55am ET $27.00 254 $6,858.00
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 9:55am ET $27.21 254 $6,910.07 $6,936.64 +$52.07
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
41 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 2:30pm ET $27.23 254 $6,916.42
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 9:50am ET $28.61 254 $7,265.67 $7,285.89 +$349.25
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.8d held
42 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $30.06 242 $7,273.31
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 9:35am ET $29.12 242 $7,047.06 $7,059.64 $-226.25
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
43 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 11:15am ET $29.64 238 $7,053.13
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $27.75 238 $6,604.50 $6,611.01 $-448.63
(-6.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.9d held
44 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $27.81 237 $6,589.79
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 12:20pm ET $29.25 237 $6,931.07 $6,952.29 +$341.28
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held
45 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 1:15pm ET $28.56 243 $6,940.08
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 10:35am ET $27.70 243 $6,729.89 $6,742.10 $-210.20
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
46 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 2:40pm ET $28.18 239 $6,735.02
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:00am ET $29.60 239 $7,073.21 $7,080.28 +$338.19
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.8d held
47 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 12:05pm ET $29.32 241 $7,064.92
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 11:20am ET $30.80 241 $7,421.60 $7,436.96 +$356.68
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
48 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 11:20am ET $30.56 243 $7,424.87
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $31.66 243 $7,693.38 $7,705.48 +$268.51
(+3.6%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.2d held
49 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 3:35pm ET $31.73 242 $7,677.45
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 2:40pm ET $30.76 242 $7,445.13 $7,473.16 $-232.32
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
50 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 2:50pm ET $30.91 241 $7,448.11
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $29.95 241 $7,217.95 $7,243.01 $-230.15
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.7d held
51 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 2:50pm ET $30.91 241 $7,448.11
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $28.97 241 $6,980.57 $6,775.47 $-467.54
(-6.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
24.7d held
52 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 12:00pm ET $29.52 229 $6,760.08
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:25am ET $28.63 229 $6,555.13 $6,570.51 $-204.96
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
53 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 12:05pm ET $28.80 228 $6,565.26
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 10:15am ET $27.86 228 $6,352.08 $6,357.33 $-213.18
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
54 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 3:35pm ET $27.89 227 $6,329.90
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:20pm ET $29.28 227 $6,647.69 $6,675.13 +$317.80
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
55 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 3:40pm ET $29.95 222 $6,648.90
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:00pm ET $29.01 222 $6,441.33 $6,467.56 $-207.57
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 2:00pm ET $31.77 203 $6,450.32
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $30.29 203 $6,148.87 $6,166.11 $-301.45
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $27.43 224 $6,144.32
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:50am ET $26.60 224 $5,958.40 $5,980.19 $-185.92
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,980.19
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,019.81
Total Return: -40.20%
Back to Marcus Reversal