MA Marcus Reversal's Analysis
2024-01-02 17:55:00+00 to 2026-05-06 15:00:00+00 • 56 trades executed
+23.01%
2 Years Return
$12,560.73
Current Value
46%
Win Rate
$10,210.93
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.4 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
+1.5%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
39%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
26
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
7.9/35
Total Return
11.8/25
Win Rate
2.4/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality
29.6/100
× Confidence 0.88
= 26.1
30-Day Momentum
20
+4.2%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 29.5
Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
42,601
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
512 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,210.93
Current Value
$12,560.73
Total P&L
$2,349.79
Max Drawdown
-11.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
50
Winners / Losers
23 /
27
Best Trade
+7.62%
Worst Trade
-3.41%
Avg Trade Return
+0.53%
Avg Hold Time
12.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,251,796.34
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,349.79
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,349.79
Gross Return
+23.01%
Net Return (after fees)
+23.01%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 512 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $10,210.93 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 2, 2024 9:35am ET | $440.82 | 22 | $9,698.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 16, 2024 9:40am ET | $464.58 | 22 | $10,220.76 | $10,641.25 |
+$522.72 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2024 9:30am ET | $459.16 | 23 | $10,560.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2024 11:00am ET | $445.08 | 23 | $10,236.84 | $10,317.52 |
$-323.73 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 30, 2024 9:30am ET | $441.65 | 23 | $10,157.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2024 9:30am ET | $440.42 | 23 | $10,129.66 | $10,289.23 |
$-28.29 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
32d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 3, 2024 11:45am ET | $446.95 | 23 | $10,279.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2024 9:50am ET | $432.85 | 23 | $9,955.55 | $9,964.93 |
$-324.30 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 11, 2024 3:20pm ET | $435.60 | 22 | $9,583.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2024 9:30am ET | $468.81 | 22 | $10,313.82 | $10,695.55 |
+$730.62 (+7.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.8d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2024 11:30am ET | $461.51 | 23 | $10,614.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2024 10:45am ET | $447.65 | 23 | $10,295.95 | $10,376.77 |
$-318.78 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2024 3:45pm ET | $449.73 | 23 | $10,343.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2024 1:00pm ET | $472.23 | 23 | $10,861.29 | $10,894.39 |
+$517.62 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2024 1:45pm ET | $470.99 | 23 | $10,832.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 13, 2024 11:30am ET | $494.64 | 23 | $11,376.72 | $11,438.34 |
+$543.95 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15.9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2024 3:05pm ET | $496.66 | 23 | $11,423.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2024 3:05pm ET | $514.15 | 23 | $11,825.45 | $11,840.55 |
+$402.21 (+3.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2024 11:20am ET | $514.80 | 23 | $11,840.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2024 10:20am ET | $516.67 | 23 | $11,883.41 | $11,883.56 |
+$43.01 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2024 2:15pm ET | $517.78 | 22 | $11,391.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2024 9:30am ET | $526.83 | 22 | $11,590.26 | $12,082.66 |
+$199.10 (+1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
31.8d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 27, 2024 10:30am ET | $533.31 | 22 | $11,732.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2025 9:35am ET | $516.29 | 22 | $11,358.38 | $11,708.22 |
$-374.44 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2025 12:20pm ET | $514.21 | 22 | $11,312.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2025 11:10am ET | $540.78 | 22 | $11,897.16 | $12,292.76 |
+$584.54 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2025 9:45am ET | $547.10 | 22 | $12,036.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2025 11:05am ET | $575.13 | 22 | $12,652.86 | $12,909.42 |
+$616.66 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2025 11:20am ET | $560.56 | 23 | $12,892.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $579.01 | 23 | $13,317.23 | $13,333.77 |
+$424.35 (+3.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30.9d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2025 9:45am ET | $564.72 | 23 | $12,988.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2025 2:00pm ET | $547.73 | 23 | $12,597.79 | $12,943.00 |
$-390.77 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2025 1:35pm ET | $538.79 | 24 | $12,930.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2025 1:25pm ET | $522.49 | 24 | $12,539.76 | $12,551.80 |
$-391.20 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2025 2:35pm ET | $523.24 | 23 | $12,034.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2025 9:40am ET | $550.01 | 23 | $12,650.23 | $13,167.51 |
+$615.71 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13.8d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2025 1:30pm ET | $558.45 | 23 | $12,844.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 28, 2025 3:25pm ET | $541.65 | 23 | $12,457.84 | $12,781.00 |
$-386.52 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2025 12:25pm ET | $548.15 | 23 | $12,607.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 3, 2025 10:20am ET | $531.33 | 23 | $12,220.48 | $12,394.02 |
$-386.97 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 4, 2025 10:20am ET | $514.69 | 24 | $12,352.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 4, 2025 2:15pm ET | $498.91 | 24 | $11,973.84 | $12,015.42 |
$-378.60 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 3:25pm ET | $481.68 | 24 | $11,560.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2025 1:30pm ET | $505.97 | 24 | $12,143.28 | $12,598.38 |
+$582.96 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 11, 2025 11:15am ET | $498.64 | 25 | $12,466.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2025 2:20pm ET | $523.91 | 25 | $13,097.75 | $13,230.13 |
+$631.75 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2025 1:20pm ET | $522.51 | 25 | $13,062.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2025 9:35am ET | $550.00 | 25 | $13,750.00 | $13,917.35 |
+$687.21 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.8d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 2, 2025 10:45am ET | $557.64 | 24 | $13,383.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2025 9:50am ET | $586.00 | 24 | $14,063.88 | $14,597.87 |
+$680.52 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2025 9:50am ET | $582.50 | 25 | $14,562.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $564.43 | 25 | $14,110.75 | $14,146.12 |
$-451.75 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2025 10:45am ET | $573.92 | 24 | $13,774.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 13, 2025 10:30am ET | $556.21 | 24 | $13,349.04 | $13,721.14 |
$-424.98 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
16d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2025 12:05pm ET | $572.00 | 23 | $13,156.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2025 12:20pm ET | $553.19 | 23 | $12,723.41 | $13,288.55 |
$-432.59 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 20, 2025 1:35pm ET | $533.06 | 24 | $12,793.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $560.26 | 24 | $13,446.24 | $13,941.35 |
+$652.80 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2025 10:10am ET | $555.99 | 25 | $13,899.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 25, 2025 10:10am ET | $566.28 | 25 | $14,157.00 | $14,198.60 |
+$257.25 (+1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2025 11:10am ET | $567.59 | 25 | $14,189.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $598.14 | 25 | $14,953.38 | $14,962.22 |
+$763.62 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
24.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2025 10:05am ET | $595.85 | 25 | $14,896.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $577.95 | 25 | $14,448.75 | $14,514.72 |
$-447.50 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
16d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 12, 2025 10:30am ET | $583.91 | 24 | $14,013.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2025 10:05am ET | $566.10 | 24 | $13,586.40 | $14,087.28 |
$-427.44 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 2:00pm ET | $565.72 | 24 | $13,577.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2025 2:10pm ET | $548.48 | 24 | $13,163.52 | $13,673.52 |
$-413.76 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $556.45 | 24 | $13,354.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 11:15am ET | $539.63 | 24 | $12,951.12 | $13,269.80 |
$-403.73 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
28.1d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 12:25pm ET | $525.11 | 25 | $13,127.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 11:00am ET | $552.41 | 25 | $13,810.13 | $13,952.17 |
+$682.37 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13.9d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 10:00am ET | $546.94 | 25 | $13,673.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $577.28 | 25 | $14,432.00 | $14,710.80 |
+$758.63 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 3:50pm ET | $576.57 | 25 | $14,414.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $556.93 | 25 | $13,923.25 | $14,219.92 |
$-490.88 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.7d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $551.94 | 25 | $13,798.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:35am ET | $535.06 | 25 | $13,376.50 | $13,797.92 |
$-422.00 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 12:20pm ET | $538.91 | 25 | $13,472.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 12:55pm ET | $522.40 | 25 | $13,059.88 | $13,385.04 |
$-412.88 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 12:30pm ET | $523.69 | 25 | $13,092.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $550.50 | 25 | $13,762.50 | $14,055.23 |
+$670.19 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 1:15pm ET | $555.58 | 25 | $13,889.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $537.59 | 25 | $13,439.75 | $13,605.60 |
$-449.62 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 12:45pm ET | $521.44 | 26 | $13,557.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 11:05am ET | $505.17 | 26 | $13,134.55 | $13,182.71 |
$-422.89 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 12:00pm ET | $511.72 | 25 | $12,793.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 3:50pm ET | $496.30 | 25 | $12,407.38 | $12,797.09 |
$-385.62 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14.1d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 12:05pm ET | $503.20 | 25 | $12,579.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 1:10pm ET | $488.08 | 25 | $12,202.00 | $12,419.21 |
$-377.88 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 2:45pm ET | $496.82 | 24 | $11,923.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 12:45pm ET | $481.73 | 24 | $11,561.52 | $12,057.05 |
$-362.16 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 10:45am ET | $491.76 | 24 | $11,802.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 10:55am ET | $516.45 | 24 | $12,394.68 | $12,649.49 |
+$592.44 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:50pm ET | $523.16 | 24 | $12,555.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 12:20pm ET | $507.02 | 24 | $12,168.36 | $12,262.01 |
$-387.48 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:15pm ET | $499.97 | 24 | $11,999.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $528.50 | 24 | $12,684.00 | $12,946.73 |
+$684.72 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $513.96 | 25 | $12,849.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 11:20am ET | $498.52 | 25 | $12,463.00 | $12,560.73 |
$-386.00 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,560.73
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,560.73
Total Return:
+25.61%