V Marcus Reversal's Analysis
2024-01-02 17:55:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 53 trades executed
+18.07%
2 Years Return
$12,265.99
Current Value
45%
Win Rate
$10,389.12
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.3 neutral
20d Trend
+0.4%
5d Trend
+2.5%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
2.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
24
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
6.5/35
Total Return
12.0/25
Win Rate
2.3/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
27.5/100
× Confidence 0.87
= 23.8
30-Day Momentum
41
+11.1%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
2.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 66.9
Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+17 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
48,055
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
524 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,389.12
Current Value
$12,265.99
Total P&L
$1,876.86
Max Drawdown
-14.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
49
Winners / Losers
22 /
27
Best Trade
+9.28%
Worst Trade
-5.24%
Avg Trade Return
+0.41%
Avg Hold Time
13d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,172,171.57
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,876.86
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,876.86
Gross Return
+18.07%
Net Return (after fees)
+18.07%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 V Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 524 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $10,389.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2024 11:35am ET | $271.93 | 38 | $10,333.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 17, 2024 11:35am ET | $280.01 | 38 | $10,640.19 | $10,786.03 |
+$306.85 (+3.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2024 11:55am ET | $279.09 | 38 | $10,605.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2024 11:10am ET | $270.71 | 38 | $10,286.98 | $10,467.59 |
$-318.44 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2024 3:50pm ET | $269.63 | 38 | $10,245.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 28, 2024 3:20pm ET | $261.53 | 38 | $9,938.12 | $10,159.77 |
$-307.82 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 3, 2024 12:25pm ET | $268.57 | 37 | $9,937.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2024 2:40pm ET | $260.45 | 37 | $9,636.65 | $9,859.33 |
$-300.44 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2024 11:30am ET | $268.19 | 36 | $9,654.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2024 9:30am ET | $254.84 | 36 | $9,174.06 | $9,378.73 |
$-480.60 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 25, 2024 9:30am ET | $253.37 | 37 | $9,374.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2024 3:40pm ET | $266.28 | 37 | $9,852.36 | $9,856.58 |
+$477.85 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.3d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 2, 2024 11:05am ET | $263.88 | 37 | $9,763.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2024 2:50pm ET | $255.93 | 37 | $9,469.41 | $9,562.43 |
$-294.15 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2024 11:55am ET | $259.71 | 36 | $9,349.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 29, 2024 10:05am ET | $272.79 | 36 | $9,820.30 | $10,033.18 |
+$470.74 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 30, 2024 11:00am ET | $275.60 | 36 | $9,921.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2024 9:40am ET | $290.21 | 36 | $10,447.56 | $10,559.32 |
+$526.14 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
16.9d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2024 1:10pm ET | $291.92 | 36 | $10,509.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2024 9:30am ET | $278.10 | 36 | $10,011.42 | $10,061.62 |
$-497.70 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2024 9:30am ET | $271.40 | 37 | $10,041.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2024 11:35am ET | $285.02 | 37 | $10,545.74 | $10,565.56 |
+$503.94 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2024 9:30am ET | $289.38 | 36 | $10,417.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET | $306.07 | 36 | $11,018.34 | $11,166.40 |
+$600.84 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
16d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2024 10:35am ET | $305.48 | 36 | $10,997.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2024 9:30am ET | $312.74 | 36 | $11,258.64 | $11,427.76 |
+$261.36 (+2.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
32d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2024 9:35am ET | $308.16 | 37 | $11,401.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $311.26 | 37 | $11,516.44 | $11,542.46 |
+$114.70 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
31d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2025 9:35am ET | $304.74 | 37 | $11,275.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 17, 2025 3:15pm ET | $320.14 | 37 | $11,845.18 | $12,112.26 |
+$569.80 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2025 11:05am ET | $325.24 | 37 | $12,033.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2025 9:35am ET | $341.67 | 37 | $12,641.79 | $12,720.35 |
+$608.10 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2025 1:30pm ET | $343.25 | 37 | $12,700.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 28, 2025 3:25pm ET | $360.47 | 37 | $13,337.39 | $13,357.49 |
+$637.14 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
28.1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2025 3:25pm ET | $359.93 | 37 | $13,317.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $344.99 | 37 | $12,764.45 | $12,804.53 |
$-552.97 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $339.83 | 37 | $12,573.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2025 10:45am ET | $329.61 | 37 | $12,195.57 | $12,426.39 |
$-378.14 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2025 11:25am ET | $333.54 | 37 | $12,340.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2025 12:15pm ET | $350.34 | 37 | $12,962.40 | $13,047.80 |
+$621.41 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 28, 2025 12:35pm ET | $344.42 | 37 | $12,743.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $333.47 | 37 | $12,338.39 | $12,642.65 |
$-405.15 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $302.75 | 41 | $12,412.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $320.96 | 41 | $13,159.16 | $13,389.06 |
+$746.40 (+6.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2025 10:25am ET | $325.39 | 41 | $13,340.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2025 12:20pm ET | $315.56 | 41 | $12,937.76 | $12,985.82 |
$-403.23 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 11, 2025 2:50pm ET | $334.26 | 38 | $12,701.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2025 10:05am ET | $324.02 | 38 | $12,312.76 | $12,596.70 |
$-389.12 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9.8d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2025 1:20pm ET | $328.05 | 38 | $12,465.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2025 3:50pm ET | $345.39 | 38 | $13,124.63 | $13,255.43 |
+$658.73 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 2, 2025 10:40am ET | $347.80 | 38 | $13,216.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 16, 2025 12:35pm ET | $365.25 | 38 | $13,879.50 | $13,918.53 |
+$663.10 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14.1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2025 2:00pm ET | $368.19 | 37 | $13,622.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2025 10:35am ET | $357.05 | 37 | $13,210.85 | $13,506.54 |
$-412.00 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 23, 2025 10:35am ET | $353.95 | 38 | $13,450.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2025 9:40am ET | $371.90 | 38 | $14,132.11 | $14,188.54 |
+$682.01 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2025 11:45am ET | $372.36 | 38 | $14,149.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $352.86 | 38 | $13,408.68 | $13,447.54 |
$-741.00 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2025 12:00pm ET | $357.71 | 37 | $13,235.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2025 12:05pm ET | $346.41 | 37 | $12,817.17 | $13,029.44 |
$-418.10 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 20, 2025 1:30pm ET | $337.34 | 38 | $12,819.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2025 12:40pm ET | $354.22 | 38 | $13,460.36 | $13,670.73 |
+$641.29 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2025 9:55am ET | $353.74 | 38 | $13,442.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2025 9:40am ET | $342.93 | 38 | $13,031.34 | $13,259.95 |
$-410.78 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2025 12:10pm ET | $341.92 | 38 | $12,992.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2025 12:05pm ET | $331.02 | 38 | $12,578.76 | $12,845.87 |
$-414.08 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2025 10:45am ET | $335.13 | 38 | $12,734.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2025 9:55am ET | $352.29 | 38 | $13,386.83 | $13,497.76 |
+$651.89 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2025 11:15am ET | $351.59 | 38 | $13,360.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 5, 2025 1:35pm ET | $341.00 | 38 | $12,958.00 | $13,095.44 |
$-402.32 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9.1d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2025 1:55pm ET | $342.95 | 38 | $13,032.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 8, 2025 1:55pm ET | $352.47 | 38 | $13,393.86 | $13,457.20 |
+$361.76 (+2.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 9, 2025 2:10pm ET | $346.29 | 38 | $13,159.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2025 2:10pm ET | $334.91 | 38 | $12,726.39 | $13,024.57 |
$-432.63 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $341.32 | 38 | $12,969.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 9:55am ET | $331.03 | 38 | $12,579.14 | $12,633.74 |
$-390.83 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25.1d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 10:40am ET | $329.67 | 38 | $12,527.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 11:00am ET | $319.72 | 38 | $12,149.36 | $12,255.64 |
$-378.10 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 11:10am ET | $321.01 | 38 | $12,198.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 10:25am ET | $337.58 | 38 | $12,828.04 | $12,885.30 |
+$629.66 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 10:55am ET | $346.67 | 37 | $12,826.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $338.61 | 37 | $12,528.57 | $12,587.08 |
$-298.22 (-2.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30.9d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $333.92 | 37 | $12,355.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $322.77 | 37 | $11,942.31 | $12,174.34 |
$-412.74 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 10:40am ET | $326.00 | 37 | $12,062.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $325.30 | 37 | $12,036.10 | $12,148.44 |
$-25.90 (-0.2%) |
📅 Sim Ended
19.2d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $317.04 | 38 | $12,047.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 1:45pm ET | $306.36 | 38 | $11,641.68 | $11,742.60 |
$-405.84 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 12:00pm ET | $311.72 | 37 | $11,533.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 10:45am ET | $302.08 | 37 | $11,176.96 | $11,385.92 |
$-356.68 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.9d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 10:50am ET | $298.83 | 38 | $11,355.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 12:05pm ET | $314.08 | 38 | $11,935.04 | $11,965.42 |
+$579.50 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
27.1d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:40pm ET | $316.71 | 37 | $11,718.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:50am ET | $306.92 | 37 | $11,355.86 | $11,602.82 |
$-362.60 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 11:40am ET | $306.29 | 37 | $11,332.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $334.72 | 37 | $12,384.64 | $12,654.73 |
+$1,051.91 (+9.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $331.33 | 38 | $12,590.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 10:05am ET | $321.11 | 38 | $12,201.99 | $12,265.99 |
$-388.74 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,265.99
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,265.99
Total Return:
+22.66%