Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:25:13

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
65.5 neutral
20d Trend
+1.8%
5d Trend
+4.8%
EMA20 Dist
+2.7%
ATR%
1.4%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

23
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.5/35
Total Return
11.7/25
Win Rate
2.9/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 26.9/100
× Confidence 0.84 = 22.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,358
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$12,735.41
Current Value
$12,469.71
Period P&L
$-265.72
Max Drawdown
-15.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
3 / 5
Best Trade
+5.21%
Worst Trade
-3.05%
Avg Trade Return
+0.00%
Avg Hold Time
15d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$198,894.11
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-265.72
Net P&L (after fees)
$-265.72
Gross Return
-2.09%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.09%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BRK-B Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $12,735.41 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 10:40am ET $493.72 25 $12,343.00
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 10:40am ET $500.15 25 $12,503.75 $12,669.17 +$160.75
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 11:15am ET $496.80 25 $12,420.00
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 1:50pm ET $481.88 25 $12,046.91 $12,296.08 $-373.10
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 9:40am ET $481.45 25 $12,036.25
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 10:50am ET $505.63 25 $12,640.75 $12,900.58 +$604.50
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:45am ET $505.17 25 $12,629.25
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 7:00pm ET $498.00 25 $12,450.00 $12,721.33 $-179.25
(-1.4%)
📅 Sim Ended
3.3d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:50am ET $500.76 25 $12,519.00
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:45am ET $485.48 25 $12,137.12 $12,339.45 $-381.88
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:45am ET $473.81 26 $12,319.06
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 12:40pm ET $498.49 26 $12,960.87 $12,981.26 +$641.81
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $493.44 26 $12,829.44
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $478.43 26 $12,439.18 $12,591.00 $-390.26
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15.3d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $475.79 26 $12,370.41
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $471.12 26 $12,249.12 $12,469.71 $-121.29
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
32d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,469.71
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,469.71
Total Return: +24.70%
Back to Marcus Reversal