Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:03:23

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.1 neutral
20d Trend
+7.6%
5d Trend
-0.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.4%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
80%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

20
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.7/35
Total Return
11.2/25
Win Rate
1.1/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 22.2/100
× Confidence 0.91 = 20.2

30-Day Momentum

2
-10.8%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-18 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,433
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
90 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$9,774.23
Current Value
$11,537.33
Period P&L
$1,763.09
Max Drawdown
-20.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
10 / 10
Best Trade
+8.87%
Worst Trade
-5.42%
Avg Trade Return
+1.02%
Avg Hold Time
4.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$464,431.33
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,763.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,763.09
Gross Return
+18.04%
Net Return (after fees)
+18.04%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 90 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $9,774.23 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 11:10am ET $93.29 103 $9,608.36
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $101.56 103 $10,460.68 $10,492.15 +$852.33
(+8.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:50am ET $98.99 105 $10,393.95
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET $95.56 105 $10,033.80 $10,132.00 $-360.15
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 3:50pm ET $98.78 102 $10,075.56
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 2:20pm ET $95.55 102 $9,745.59 $9,802.03 $-329.97
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 2:40pm ET $96.57 101 $9,753.56
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 2:25pm ET $101.58 101 $10,259.34 $10,307.81 +$505.78
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $98.97 104 $10,292.88
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 12:45pm ET $95.98 104 $9,981.40 $9,996.33 $-311.48
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:40pm ET $96.89 103 $9,979.67
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $104.70 103 $10,784.10 $10,800.76 +$804.43
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $102.78 105 $10,791.90
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 12:30pm ET $108.14 105 $11,354.67 $11,363.53 +$562.77
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:20am ET $106.94 106 $11,335.64
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $108.65 106 $11,516.90 $11,544.79 +$181.26
(+1.6%)
📅 Sim Ended
3.2d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $110.76 104 $11,519.56
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $119.26 104 $12,403.04 $12,428.27 +$883.48
(+7.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
13d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 12:25pm ET $119.33 104 $12,410.32
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 9:50am ET $115.50 104 $12,012.00 $12,029.95 $-398.32
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 10:40am ET $116.60 103 $12,009.80
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 10:00am ET $122.71 103 $12,639.08 $12,659.23 +$629.28
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $124.01 102 $12,649.02
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:10am ET $130.57 102 $13,317.63 $13,327.84 +$668.61
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 3:50pm ET $133.93 99 $13,259.07
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 1:15pm ET $129.72 99 $12,842.28 $12,911.05 $-416.79
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:20pm ET $126.79 101 $12,805.79
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET $133.68 101 $13,501.18 $13,606.44 +$695.39
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:40am ET $129.80 104 $13,499.32
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $122.76 104 $12,767.04 $12,874.16 $-732.28
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:05am ET $126.85 101 $12,811.85
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:55am ET $122.68 101 $12,390.18 $12,452.49 $-421.67
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:40am ET $123.29 101 $12,452.29
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 10:25am ET $119.59 101 $12,078.59 $12,078.79 $-373.70
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:10pm ET $119.00 101 $12,019.00
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET $113.93 101 $11,507.43 $11,567.22 $-511.57
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 3:05pm ET $117.17 98 $11,482.66
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:05pm ET $123.06 98 $12,059.39 $12,143.95 +$576.73
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $123.64 98 $12,116.72
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $117.45 98 $11,510.10 $11,537.33 $-606.62
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,537.33
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,537.33
Total Return: +15.37%
Back to Marcus Reversal