Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-24 20:02:06

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
68.2 neutral
20d Trend
+5.1%
5d Trend
+5.5%
EMA20 Dist
+3.1%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

31
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.1/35
Total Return
14.3/25
Win Rate
3.5/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 34.2/100
× Confidence 0.91 = 31.1

30-Day Momentum

1
-4.8%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-30 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,221
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
124 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$14,396.71
Current Value
$15,137.31
Period P&L
$740.61
Max Drawdown
-19.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
7 / 8
Best Trade
+5.27%
Worst Trade
-4.11%
Avg Trade Return
+0.49%
Avg Hold Time
10.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$451,065.39
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$740.61
Net P&L (after fees)
$740.61
Gross Return
+5.14%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.14%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COST Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 124 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $14,396.71 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 1:00pm ET $855.91 16 $13,694.48
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET $899.00 16 $14,384.00 $14,988.70 +$689.52
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 2:05pm ET $925.61 16 $14,809.76
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 10:05am ET $972.18 16 $15,554.80 $15,733.74 +$745.04
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 10:05am ET $973.33 16 $15,573.20
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:40am ET $940.68 16 $15,050.88 $15,211.42 $-522.32
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 1:45pm ET $982.92 15 $14,743.73
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $997.58 15 $14,963.70 $15,431.39 +$219.97
(+1.5%)
📅 Sim Ended
6.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:40am ET $1,013.26 15 $15,198.96
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET $979.16 15 $14,687.43 $14,919.86 $-511.53
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:35am ET $981.66 15 $14,724.90
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 10:35am ET $973.19 15 $14,597.85 $14,792.81 $-127.05
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 2:50pm ET $983.00 15 $14,745.00
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 10:00am ET $1,033.57 15 $15,503.62 $15,551.43 +$758.62
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:00am ET $1,009.13 15 $15,136.95
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $974.01 15 $14,610.15 $15,024.63 $-526.80
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $970.03 15 $14,550.45
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $1,021.20 15 $15,317.93 $15,792.10 +$767.47
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
16d held
10 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 1:10pm ET $1,010.94 15 $15,164.10
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:45am ET $1,063.54 15 $15,953.03 $16,581.02 +$788.92
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.9d held
11 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 1:25pm ET $1,089.22 15 $16,338.37
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:35am ET $1,044.43 15 $15,666.45 $15,909.10 $-671.92
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
12 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:45am ET $1,038.32 15 $15,574.87
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:50am ET $1,001.01 15 $15,015.08 $15,349.30 $-559.80
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
13 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 10:50am ET $1,004.57 15 $15,068.55
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:35am ET $973.12 15 $14,596.80 $14,877.55 $-471.75
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 10:30am ET $947.62 15 $14,214.30
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:00am ET $996.83 15 $14,952.38 $15,615.63 +$738.08
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 12:10pm ET $973.50 16 $15,576.00
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 10:00am ET $943.60 16 $15,097.68 $15,137.31 $-478.32
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,137.31
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,137.31
Total Return: +51.37%
Back to Marcus Reversal