Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:03:57

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.8 oversold
20d Trend
-20.5%
5d Trend
-15.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.5%
ATR%
4.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

51
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
21.9/35
Total Return
18.2/25
Win Rate
2.9/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 51.5/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 51.3

30-Day Momentum

69
+25.9%
30d Return
83%
Win Rate
6
Trades
5.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 93.0 Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+18 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,136
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$25,043.30
Current Value
$25,470.31
Period P&L
$427.01
Max Drawdown
-24.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
21
Winners / Losers
9 / 12
Best Trade
+6.05%
Worst Trade
-6.30%
Avg Trade Return
+0.06%
Avg Hold Time
4.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$941,784.24
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$427.01
Net P&L (after fees)
$427.01
Gross Return
+1.71%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.71%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRWD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 21 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $25,043.30 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 10:15am ET $482.56 53 $25,575.68
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:40am ET $466.66 53 $24,732.98 $24,882.67 $-842.70
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
16d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 11:55am ET $463.68 53 $24,575.04
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 9:45am ET $447.14 53 $23,698.16 $24,005.79 $-876.89
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:45am ET $445.49 53 $23,610.97
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 12:35pm ET $467.90 53 $24,798.70 $25,193.52 +$1,187.73
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 12:55pm ET $477.51 52 $24,830.26
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $447.43 52 $23,266.10 $23,629.36 $-1,564.16
(-6.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 3:00pm ET $440.50 53 $23,346.50
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:50am ET $424.29 53 $22,487.37 $22,770.23 $-859.13
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:50am ET $405.24 56 $22,693.44
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 2:25pm ET $392.85 56 $21,999.60 $22,076.39 $-693.84
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $422.11 52 $21,949.72
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET $409.42 52 $21,289.58 $21,416.25 $-660.14
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 12:15pm ET $424.16 50 $21,208.00
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 1:15pm ET $402.72 50 $20,136.00 $20,344.25 $-1,072.00
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 2:20pm ET $345.13 58 $20,017.80
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 2:35pm ET $362.60 58 $21,030.80 $21,357.26 +$1,013.01
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $368.35 57 $20,995.95
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 11:25am ET $387.15 57 $22,067.61 $22,428.92 +$1,071.66
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 11:00am ET $420.15 53 $22,267.95
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $445.55 53 $23,614.15 $23,775.12 +$1,346.20
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 11:50am ET $438.63 54 $23,686.02
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $424.82 54 $22,940.40 $23,029.50 $-745.62
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 11:00am ET $433.75 53 $22,988.75
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET $416.44 53 $22,071.32 $22,112.07 $-917.43
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 12:25pm ET $411.16 53 $21,791.48
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $394.80 53 $20,924.40 $21,244.99 $-867.08
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:20am ET $389.14 54 $21,013.29
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $370.43 54 $20,003.22 $20,234.92 $-1,010.07
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 1:20pm ET $385.16 52 $20,028.32
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:40pm ET $405.98 52 $21,110.96 $21,317.56 +$1,082.64
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $415.58 51 $21,194.83
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:05am ET $403.01 51 $20,553.52 $20,676.24 $-641.32
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:05am ET $365.91 56 $20,490.96
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:40am ET $387.05 56 $21,675.08 $21,860.36 +$1,184.12
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:45am ET $400.92 54 $21,649.95
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $422.51 54 $22,815.32 $23,025.74 +$1,165.38
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 11:40am ET $423.57 54 $22,872.78
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:45am ET $446.24 54 $24,096.96 $24,249.92 +$1,224.18
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $448.74 54 $24,231.97
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:50am ET $471.34 54 $25,452.36 $25,470.31 +$1,220.39
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $25,470.31
Net Profit/Loss: +$15,470.31
Total Return: +154.70%
Back to Marcus Reversal