HOOD Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 42 trades in period
-42.99%
Year to Date Return
$7,744.26
Current Value
29%
Win Rate
$13,583.76
Period Start
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026
5
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality
5.0/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 4.9
30-Day Momentum
4
-10.2%
30d Return
29%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.7
Conf: 0.78×
Cooling (-0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,702
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
123 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$13,583.76
Current Value
$7,744.26
Period P&L
$-5,839.50
Max Drawdown
-45.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.25
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
42
Winners / Losers
12 /
30
Best Trade
+8.59%
Worst Trade
-13.53%
Avg Trade Return
-1.22%
Avg Hold Time
2.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$849,730.12
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-5,839.50
Net P&L (after fees)
$-5,839.50
Gross Return
-42.99%
Net Return (after fees)
-42.99%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 123 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 42 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $13,583.76 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 3:50pm ET | $112.94 | 120 | $13,552.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $119.63 | 120 | $14,355.60 | $14,447.75 |
+$802.80 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.7d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 10:00am ET | $121.73 | 118 | $14,363.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 2:55pm ET | $117.99 | 118 | $13,922.53 | $14,006.72 |
$-441.03 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 3:25pm ET | $115.45 | 121 | $13,969.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 3:05pm ET | $111.90 | 121 | $13,539.96 | $13,577.23 |
$-429.49 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 3:05pm ET | $108.93 | 124 | $13,507.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 10:05am ET | $105.52 | 124 | $13,083.86 | $13,153.77 |
$-423.46 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:40am ET | $105.94 | 124 | $13,136.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $102.42 | 124 | $12,700.08 | $12,717.29 |
$-436.48 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 11:20am ET | $101.70 | 125 | $12,712.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 3:25pm ET | $98.43 | 125 | $12,303.13 | $12,307.92 |
$-409.38 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 3:25pm ET | $88.73 | 138 | $12,244.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:00pm ET | $86.06 | 138 | $11,876.28 | $11,939.46 |
$-368.46 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.6h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 1:05pm ET | $78.04 | 152 | $11,862.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:05am ET | $75.64 | 152 | $11,496.52 | $11,573.90 |
$-365.56 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 1:30pm ET | $82.65 | 140 | $11,571.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:15am ET | $86.86 | 140 | $12,161.10 | $12,163.30 |
+$589.40 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 11:40am ET | $86.13 | 141 | $12,144.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.80 | 141 | $10,828.80 | $10,847.77 |
$-1,315.53 (-10.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $74.34 | 145 | $10,778.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 10:05am ET | $78.10 | 145 | $11,324.50 | $11,393.33 |
+$545.56 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 11:45am ET | $74.74 | 152 | $11,360.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:45am ET | $72.45 | 152 | $11,012.40 | $11,045.25 |
$-348.08 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 1:05pm ET | $76.67 | 144 | $11,040.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $73.49 | 144 | $10,581.84 | $10,586.96 |
$-458.29 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $74.19 | 142 | $10,534.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $79.73 | 142 | $11,321.66 | $11,373.64 |
+$786.68 (+7.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 10:40am ET | $80.65 | 141 | $11,371.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $77.99 | 141 | $10,996.59 | $10,998.58 |
$-375.06 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $75.87 | 144 | $10,925.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $80.25 | 144 | $11,556.00 | $11,629.30 |
+$630.72 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 11:45am ET | $77.02 | 150 | $11,553.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $74.18 | 150 | $11,126.99 | $11,203.29 |
$-426.01 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 12:30pm ET | $74.28 | 150 | $11,142.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 10:00am ET | $71.61 | 150 | $10,741.50 | $10,802.79 |
$-400.50 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $71.50 | 151 | $10,796.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 10:40am ET | $69.28 | 151 | $10,461.28 | $10,467.57 |
$-335.22 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 12:10pm ET | $72.92 | 143 | $10,427.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 10:55am ET | $70.71 | 143 | $10,111.53 | $10,151.54 |
$-316.03 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 12:40pm ET | $66.98 | 151 | $10,113.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 1:20pm ET | $64.89 | 151 | $9,798.39 | $9,836.22 |
$-315.32 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:10pm ET | $70.04 | 140 | $9,805.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $67.19 | 140 | $9,407.16 | $9,437.79 |
$-398.43 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:20pm ET | $69.61 | 135 | $9,397.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 10:00am ET | $67.23 | 135 | $9,076.50 | $9,116.92 |
$-320.87 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.7h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 10:40am ET | $73.48 | 124 | $9,111.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $69.95 | 124 | $8,673.80 | $8,679.20 |
$-437.72 (-4.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $69.29 | 125 | $8,661.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $75.24 | 125 | $9,405.00 | $9,422.95 |
+$743.75 (+8.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 10:00am ET | $84.37 | 111 | $9,365.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $90.10 | 111 | $10,001.10 | $10,058.98 |
+$636.03 (+6.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 10:55am ET | $89.20 | 112 | $9,990.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $86.38 | 112 | $9,674.56 | $9,743.14 |
$-315.84 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:50am ET | $86.97 | 112 | $9,740.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:10pm ET | $83.89 | 112 | $9,395.68 | $9,398.18 |
$-344.96 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 11:30am ET | $83.43 | 112 | $9,344.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $72.15 | 112 | $8,080.54 | $8,134.10 |
$-1,264.08 (-13.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 12:25pm ET | $72.96 | 111 | $8,099.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $77.33 | 111 | $8,583.63 | $8,618.62 |
+$484.52 (+6.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 12:35pm ET | $76.94 | 112 | $8,617.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 9:55am ET | $74.43 | 112 | $8,336.72 | $8,338.06 |
$-280.56 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:50am ET | $78.74 | 105 | $8,267.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $76.13 | 105 | $7,993.97 | $8,064.33 |
$-273.73 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 9:50am ET | $75.75 | 106 | $8,029.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 12:00pm ET | $79.54 | 106 | $8,431.58 | $8,466.63 |
+$402.30 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 12:00pm ET | $76.67 | 110 | $8,433.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 10:10am ET | $74.28 | 110 | $8,170.80 | $8,203.73 |
$-262.90 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 3:05pm ET | $75.47 | 108 | $8,150.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 11:25am ET | $79.42 | 108 | $8,576.82 | $8,629.79 |
+$426.06 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.8d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 1:50pm ET | $92.52 | 93 | $8,604.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $86.07 | 93 | $8,004.97 | $8,030.40 |
$-599.39 (-7.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $88.68 | 90 | $7,980.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $85.11 | 90 | $7,659.90 | $7,709.55 |
$-320.85 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:45am ET | $84.93 | 90 | $7,643.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 12:10pm ET | $82.22 | 90 | $7,400.25 | $7,466.55 |
$-243.00 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 1:25pm ET | $84.03 | 88 | $7,394.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET | $81.26 | 88 | $7,150.88 | $7,222.80 |
$-243.75 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.6h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 3:10pm ET | $88.00 | 82 | $7,216.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 3:15pm ET | $92.62 | 82 | $7,594.84 | $7,601.63 |
+$378.83 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 12:45pm ET | $99.35 | 76 | $7,550.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 10:50am ET | $96.21 | 76 | $7,312.34 | $7,363.37 |
$-238.26 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 3:45pm ET | $105.83 | 69 | $7,302.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:50am ET | $111.35 | 69 | $7,683.15 | $7,744.26 |
+$380.89 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$7,744.26
Net Profit/Loss:
$-2,255.74
Total Return:
-22.56%