Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-24 20:02:06

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 4.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 4.7

30-Day Momentum

46
+13.6%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 52.4 Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+41 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,023
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
125 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$6,105.37
Current Value
$4,763.40
Period P&L
$-1,341.97
Max Drawdown
-58.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
61
Winners / Losers
21 / 40
Best Trade
+7.84%
Worst Trade
-5.85%
Avg Trade Return
-0.31%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$633,302.67
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,341.97
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,341.97
Gross Return
-21.98%
Net Return (after fees)
-21.98%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 125 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 61 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $6,105.37 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 3:50pm ET $8.95 680 $6,086.14
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 10:00am ET $9.43 680 $6,412.40 $6,418.16 +$326.26
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 12:10pm ET $10.36 619 $6,412.84
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 12:50pm ET $10.05 619 $6,217.86 $6,223.18 $-194.99
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 1:15pm ET $10.14 614 $6,222.89
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 12:50pm ET $10.65 614 $6,539.10 $6,539.39 +$316.21
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 1:30pm ET $10.22 640 $6,538.30
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 11:25am ET $10.77 640 $6,889.60 $6,890.68 +$351.30
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 12:05pm ET $10.67 645 $6,882.15
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:45am ET $11.31 645 $7,291.73 $7,300.26 +$409.58
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 1:35pm ET $11.02 662 $7,292.00
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $10.68 662 $7,070.16 $7,078.42 $-221.84
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $10.40 680 $7,068.60
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 12:15pm ET $10.95 680 $7,445.39 $7,455.21 +$376.79
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 12:15pm ET $10.36 719 $7,450.57
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:45am ET $10.02 719 $7,200.79 $7,205.43 $-249.78
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 9:45am ET $10.23 704 $7,201.92
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 11:15am ET $9.91 704 $6,973.12 $6,976.63 $-228.80
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 12:45pm ET $10.13 689 $6,976.13
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:10am ET $9.77 689 $6,728.09 $6,728.59 $-248.04
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 1:15pm ET $9.37 718 $6,724.07
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:40am ET $9.07 718 $6,515.85 $6,520.37 $-208.22
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 12:05pm ET $9.24 705 $6,514.13
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 1:05pm ET $8.94 705 $6,306.22 $6,312.47 $-207.90
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 1:05pm ET $7.91 798 $6,308.19
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 2:55pm ET $8.36 798 $6,675.27 $6,679.55 +$367.08
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:00pm ET $6.91 965 $6,672.97
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:30pm ET $6.68 965 $6,441.38 $6,447.95 $-231.60
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $7.82 824 $6,447.80
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET $8.30 824 $6,835.08 $6,835.23 +$387.28
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
30m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 12:20pm ET $7.94 860 $6,828.40
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:30pm ET $7.70 860 $6,622.00 $6,628.83 $-206.40
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $7.68 863 $6,623.53
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 10:35am ET $7.43 863 $6,412.09 $6,417.39 $-211.44
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 1:05pm ET $7.63 841 $6,412.63
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 9:35am ET $7.35 841 $6,184.71 $6,189.48 $-227.91
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.5h held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 11:35am ET $7.94 779 $6,185.26
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 12:35pm ET $7.68 779 $5,986.61 $5,990.83 $-198.65
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 3:10pm ET $7.99 749 $5,984.51
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $8.39 749 $6,284.11 $6,290.43 +$299.60
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $8.42 746 $6,282.81
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 1:30pm ET $8.15 746 $6,076.17 $6,083.79 $-206.64
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4h held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 2:00pm ET $9.14 665 $6,078.03
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $8.60 665 $5,722.32 $5,728.08 $-355.71
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $9.03 634 $5,725.02
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 10:25am ET $8.66 634 $5,490.44 $5,493.50 $-234.58
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 12:05pm ET $9.23 594 $5,485.59
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 9:40am ET $8.87 594 $5,268.78 $5,276.69 $-216.81
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.6h held
25 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:40am ET $8.40 627 $5,269.31
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 11:10am ET $8.14 627 $5,103.59 $5,110.97 $-165.72
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
26 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $8.64 591 $5,107.78
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 11:25am ET $8.33 591 $4,923.03 $4,926.23 $-184.75
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 12:15pm ET $9.42 522 $4,917.24
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 11:35am ET $9.10 522 $4,752.81 $4,761.80 $-164.43
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
28 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 12:05pm ET $8.98 530 $4,756.75
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $8.52 530 $4,515.60 $4,520.65 $-241.15
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held
29 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:55am ET $8.92 506 $4,513.47
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 1:40pm ET $8.63 506 $4,366.78 $4,373.96 $-146.69
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
30 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $8.86 493 $4,367.98
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:20am ET $8.56 493 $4,220.08 $4,226.06 $-147.90
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
31 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:10am ET $8.32 507 $4,218.29
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $8.97 507 $4,549.06 $4,556.83 +$330.77
(+7.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held
32 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $8.29 549 $4,551.21
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET $8.00 549 $4,392.00 $4,397.62 $-159.21
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
33 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:40am ET $7.88 558 $4,397.04
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 10:00am ET $8.27 558 $4,617.45 $4,618.03 +$220.41
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
34 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:00am ET $7.81 591 $4,615.77
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:45am ET $8.26 591 $4,878.71 $4,880.97 +$262.94
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
45m held
35 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET $8.83 552 $4,874.10
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:50am ET $8.56 552 $4,727.88 $4,734.75 $-146.22
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
36 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:05pm ET $9.60 493 $4,730.34
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $9.31 493 $4,587.37 $4,591.78 $-142.97
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
37 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 11:35am ET $10.73 428 $4,590.30
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET $10.37 428 $4,438.40 $4,439.88 $-151.90
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held
38 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:10pm ET $11.74 378 $4,435.94
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $11.30 378 $4,272.80 $4,276.74 $-163.14
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
39 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $11.45 373 $4,272.71
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:15pm ET $11.10 373 $4,139.96 $4,143.99 $-132.75
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
40 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 1:15pm ET $11.81 350 $4,135.25
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:30am ET $11.41 350 $3,995.25 $4,003.99 $-140.00
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
41 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 11:25am ET $11.18 358 $4,002.40
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $10.77 358 $3,855.66 $3,857.25 $-146.74
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held
42 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $10.73 359 $3,850.28
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:05am ET $10.39 359 $3,729.97 $3,736.95 $-120.30
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
43 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 2:10pm ET $11.87 314 $3,727.21
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 2:45pm ET $11.49 314 $3,608.30 $3,618.04 $-118.91
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
44 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 12:55pm ET $11.90 303 $3,607.21
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $12.57 303 $3,808.71 $3,819.53 +$201.49
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.6h held
45 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 11:25am ET $12.80 298 $3,814.40
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 1:15pm ET $12.39 298 $3,690.73 $3,695.86 $-123.67
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
46 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 2:55pm ET $12.97 284 $3,683.51
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 10:40am ET $13.63 284 $3,870.92 $3,883.27 +$187.41
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
47 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 10:40am ET $11.97 324 $3,879.19
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 3:35pm ET $12.59 324 $4,077.54 $4,081.62 +$198.35
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9h held
48 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 3:35pm ET $12.68 322 $4,081.35
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 11:15am ET $13.31 322 $4,286.56 $4,286.83 +$205.21
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.7h held
49 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 11:15am ET $12.15 352 $4,275.04
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 10:35am ET $11.63 352 $4,092.00 $4,103.79 $-183.04
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
50 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 3:15pm ET $13.26 309 $4,097.34
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 11:35am ET $13.98 309 $4,321.36 $4,327.81 +$224.02
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
51 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 12:00pm ET $14.54 297 $4,318.38
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:40am ET $14.05 297 $4,172.85 $4,182.28 $-145.53
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.7h held
52 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:40am ET $13.86 301 $4,173.36
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 2:20pm ET $14.63 301 $4,402.13 $4,411.04 +$228.76
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
53 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 3:35pm ET $14.86 296 $4,400.04
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 1:45pm ET $14.39 296 $4,257.96 $4,268.96 $-142.08
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held
54 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $13.53 315 $4,262.58
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:35am ET $13.03 315 $4,104.42 $4,110.80 $-158.16
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
55 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:10pm ET $13.69 300 $4,105.50
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:05am ET $14.37 300 $4,310.79 $4,316.09 +$205.29
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.9h held
56 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:50am ET $13.18 327 $4,308.23
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 12:50pm ET $12.77 327 $4,175.43 $4,183.30 $-132.79
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held
57 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 12:05pm ET $13.91 300 $4,174.50
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $14.94 300 $4,482.00 $4,490.80 +$307.50
(+7.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
58 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 11:50am ET $14.73 304 $4,476.40
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 10:05am ET $14.27 304 $4,336.56 $4,350.96 $-139.84
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
59 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 10:05am ET $13.88 313 $4,344.44
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:35am ET $14.91 313 $4,666.86 $4,673.38 +$322.42
(+7.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
60 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:35am ET $14.39 324 $4,662.36
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 10:05am ET $15.14 324 $4,903.74 $4,914.76 +$241.38
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
30m held
61 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 1:00pm ET $13.96 352 $4,913.92
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 1:45pm ET $13.53 352 $4,762.56 $4,763.40 $-151.36
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,763.40
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,236.60
Total Return: -52.37%
Back to Marcus Reversal