Compendium › Marcus Reversal › PLTR
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PLTR
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 27 trades in period

+14.89%
Year to Date Return
$52,002.42
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$45,264.37
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:58:23

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

69
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
21.8/25
Win Rate
3.0/15
Profit Factor
3.2/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 69.2/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 68.9

30-Day Momentum

6
-1.3%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1 Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-63 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,439
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$45,264.37
Current Value
$52,002.42
Period P&L
$6,738.07
Max Drawdown
-28.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
12 / 15
Best Trade
+6.66%
Worst Trade
-4.72%
Avg Trade Return
+0.61%
Avg Hold Time
2.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,665,518.84
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$6,738.07
Net P&L (after fees)
$6,738.07
Gross Return
+14.89%
Net Return (after fees)
+14.89%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $45,264.37 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 1:20pm ET $173.46 260 $45,099.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 11:15am ET $182.69 260 $47,499.40 $47,664.64 +$2,400.29
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 11:30am ET $177.91 267 $47,501.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 10:40am ET $172.30 267 $46,002.77 $46,165.44 $-1,499.21
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 2:20pm ET $168.85 273 $46,096.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 11:50am ET $163.42 273 $44,613.66 $44,683.05 $-1,482.39
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 12:40pm ET $165.37 270 $44,649.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 12:20pm ET $159.92 270 $43,178.40 $43,211.55 $-1,471.50
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 2:45pm ET $149.62 288 $43,089.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $159.58 288 $45,959.62 $46,082.04 +$2,870.50
(+6.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $149.90 307 $46,019.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:50am ET $145.38 307 $44,631.66 $44,694.37 $-1,387.67
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:50am ET $134.12 333 $44,661.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $129.57 333 $43,145.15 $43,177.56 $-1,516.81
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 2:05pm ET $135.24 319 $43,141.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:15am ET $142.11 319 $45,332.96 $45,368.96 +$2,191.40
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 11:15am ET $142.52 318 $45,321.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 2:05pm ET $138.14 318 $43,928.52 $43,976.15 $-1,392.81
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $128.80 341 $43,920.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 9:30am ET $135.30 341 $46,137.30 $46,192.65 +$2,216.50
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET $132.38 348 $46,068.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:40am ET $128.12 348 $44,585.76 $44,710.17 $-1,482.48
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 3:10pm ET $128.29 348 $44,644.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 10:45am ET $135.12 348 $47,021.55 $47,086.80 +$2,376.63
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 12:00pm ET $134.16 350 $46,956.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $140.87 350 $49,304.50 $49,435.30 +$2,348.50
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $142.09 347 $49,305.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 9:35am ET $151.26 347 $52,485.49 $52,615.56 +$3,180.26
(+6.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 11:00am ET $153.05 343 $52,497.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 2:30pm ET $160.99 343 $55,219.57 $55,337.27 +$2,721.71
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 10:00am ET $152.85 362 $55,331.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 3:05pm ET $160.64 362 $58,151.68 $58,157.25 +$2,819.98
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
13.2d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 3:45pm ET $154.93 375 $58,098.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $150.21 375 $56,328.75 $56,387.26 $-1,769.99
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $144.28 390 $56,269.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 1:15pm ET $139.74 390 $54,498.60 $54,616.66 $-1,770.60
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:50pm ET $146.95 371 $54,518.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET $141.76 371 $52,593.00 $52,691.21 $-1,925.45
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:45am ET $148.31 355 $52,650.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:30pm ET $143.82 355 $51,056.10 $51,097.23 $-1,593.98
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 2:20pm ET $129.52 394 $51,030.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:40am ET $125.47 394 $49,435.18 $49,501.53 $-1,595.70
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 2:20pm ET $132.83 372 $49,412.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:15am ET $139.48 372 $51,884.74 $51,973.51 +$2,471.98
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 1:05pm ET $142.44 364 $51,848.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:10am ET $149.85 364 $54,545.40 $54,670.75 +$2,697.24
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 10:10am ET $144.63 378 $54,670.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:25am ET $139.86 378 $52,867.08 $52,867.69 $-1,803.06
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 11:50am ET $142.90 369 $52,730.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $136.16 369 $50,243.04 $50,380.63 $-2,487.06
(-4.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:10pm ET $138.85 362 $50,265.51 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $147.80 362 $53,503.56 $53,618.68 +$3,238.05
(+6.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
27 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $139.93 383 $53,591.28 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 12:10pm ET $135.71 383 $51,975.02 $52,002.42 $-1,616.26
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $52,002.42
Net Profit/Loss: +$42,002.42
Total Return: +420.02%
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