PLTR Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 38 trades in period
-5.78%
Year to Date Return
$42,649.17
Current Value
37%
Win Rate
$45,264.37
Period Start
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026
66
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
21.0/25
Win Rate
2.5/15
Profit Factor
2.3/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality
66.8/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 66.1
30-Day Momentum
6
-17.2%
30d Return
13%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1
Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-60 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,934
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
123 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$45,264.37
Current Value
$42,649.17
Period P&L
$-2,615.18
Max Drawdown
-28.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
14 /
24
Best Trade
+6.66%
Worst Trade
-4.72%
Avg Trade Return
-0.07%
Avg Hold Time
2.6d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$3,770,633.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,615.18
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,615.18
Gross Return
-5.78%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.78%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 123 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $45,264.37 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 1:20pm ET | $173.46 | 260 | $45,099.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 11:15am ET | $182.69 | 260 | $47,499.40 | $47,664.64 |
+$2,400.29 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 11:30am ET | $177.91 | 267 | $47,501.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 10:40am ET | $172.30 | 267 | $46,002.77 | $46,165.44 |
$-1,499.21 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 2:20pm ET | $168.85 | 273 | $46,096.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 11:50am ET | $163.42 | 273 | $44,613.66 | $44,683.05 |
$-1,482.39 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 12:40pm ET | $165.37 | 270 | $44,649.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 12:20pm ET | $159.92 | 270 | $43,178.40 | $43,211.55 |
$-1,471.50 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 2:45pm ET | $149.62 | 288 | $43,089.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $159.58 | 288 | $45,959.62 | $46,082.04 |
+$2,870.50 (+6.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $149.90 | 307 | $46,019.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:50am ET | $145.38 | 307 | $44,631.66 | $44,694.37 |
$-1,387.67 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:50am ET | $134.12 | 333 | $44,661.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $129.57 | 333 | $43,145.15 | $43,177.56 |
$-1,516.81 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 2:05pm ET | $135.24 | 319 | $43,141.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:15am ET | $142.11 | 319 | $45,332.96 | $45,368.96 |
+$2,191.40 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 11:15am ET | $142.52 | 318 | $45,321.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 2:05pm ET | $138.14 | 318 | $43,928.52 | $43,976.15 |
$-1,392.81 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $128.80 | 341 | $43,920.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $135.30 | 341 | $46,137.30 | $46,192.65 |
+$2,216.50 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $132.38 | 348 | $46,068.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $128.12 | 348 | $44,585.76 | $44,710.17 |
$-1,482.48 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 3:10pm ET | $128.29 | 348 | $44,644.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 10:45am ET | $135.12 | 348 | $47,021.55 | $47,086.80 |
+$2,376.63 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.6h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 12:00pm ET | $134.16 | 350 | $46,956.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $140.87 | 350 | $49,304.50 | $49,435.30 |
+$2,348.50 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $142.09 | 347 | $49,305.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $151.26 | 347 | $52,485.49 | $52,615.56 |
+$3,180.26 (+6.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 11:00am ET | $153.05 | 343 | $52,497.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 2:30pm ET | $160.99 | 343 | $55,219.57 | $55,337.27 |
+$2,721.71 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 10:00am ET | $152.85 | 362 | $55,331.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 3:05pm ET | $160.64 | 362 | $58,151.68 | $58,157.25 |
+$2,819.98 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13.2d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 3:45pm ET | $154.93 | 375 | $58,098.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $150.21 | 375 | $56,328.75 | $56,387.26 |
$-1,769.99 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $144.28 | 390 | $56,269.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 1:15pm ET | $139.74 | 390 | $54,498.60 | $54,616.66 |
$-1,770.60 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 1:50pm ET | $146.95 | 371 | $54,518.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $141.76 | 371 | $52,593.00 | $52,691.21 |
$-1,925.45 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:45am ET | $148.31 | 355 | $52,650.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 1:30pm ET | $143.82 | 355 | $51,056.10 | $51,097.23 |
$-1,593.98 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 2:20pm ET | $129.52 | 394 | $51,030.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $125.47 | 394 | $49,435.18 | $49,501.53 |
$-1,595.70 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 2:20pm ET | $132.83 | 372 | $49,412.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 11:15am ET | $139.48 | 372 | $51,884.74 | $51,973.51 |
+$2,471.98 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 1:05pm ET | $142.44 | 364 | $51,848.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 10:10am ET | $149.85 | 364 | $54,545.40 | $54,670.75 |
+$2,697.24 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 10:10am ET | $144.63 | 378 | $54,670.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 10:25am ET | $139.86 | 378 | $52,867.08 | $52,867.69 |
$-1,803.06 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 11:50am ET | $142.90 | 369 | $52,730.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $136.16 | 369 | $50,243.04 | $50,380.63 |
$-2,487.06 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 12:10pm ET | $138.85 | 362 | $50,265.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $147.80 | 362 | $53,503.56 | $53,618.68 |
+$3,238.05 (+6.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $139.93 | 383 | $53,591.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 12:10pm ET | $135.71 | 383 | $51,975.02 | $52,002.42 |
$-1,616.26 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 3:25pm ET | $133.08 | 390 | $51,901.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 10:50am ET | $140.26 | 390 | $54,701.40 | $54,802.62 |
+$2,800.20 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.4h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 12:40pm ET | $135.15 | 405 | $54,735.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 10:20am ET | $131.08 | 405 | $53,085.42 | $53,152.25 |
$-1,650.37 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 3:30pm ET | $133.24 | 398 | $53,031.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 11:45am ET | $140.10 | 398 | $55,759.80 | $55,880.54 |
+$2,728.29 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13.8d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 2:50pm ET | $161.75 | 345 | $55,803.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $155.31 | 345 | $53,581.95 | $53,658.74 |
$-2,221.80 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $147.18 | 364 | $53,573.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 12:40pm ET | $142.74 | 364 | $51,957.36 | $52,042.58 |
$-1,616.16 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 12:50pm ET | $141.24 | 368 | $51,978.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 12:05pm ET | $136.96 | 368 | $50,401.28 | $50,465.70 |
$-1,576.88 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 12:15pm ET | $136.02 | 371 | $50,465.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 11:25am ET | $131.66 | 371 | $48,845.90 | $48,846.32 |
$-1,619.38 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 1:45pm ET | $131.30 | 372 | $48,843.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 12:00pm ET | $127.03 | 372 | $47,255.16 | $47,257.88 |
$-1,588.44 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 12:55pm ET | $134.13 | 352 | $47,213.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 10:45am ET | $129.76 | 352 | $45,675.52 | $45,719.67 |
$-1,538.21 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 3:00pm ET | $133.20 | 343 | $45,687.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $128.27 | 343 | $43,998.32 | $44,030.36 |
$-1,689.31 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $125.36 | 351 | $43,999.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 12:10pm ET | $121.42 | 351 | $42,618.42 | $42,649.17 |
$-1,381.19 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$42,649.17
Net Profit/Loss:
+$32,649.17
Total Return:
+326.49%