Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:23:52

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.4/35
Total Return
14.3/25
Win Rate
1.3/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 27.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 27.3

30-Day Momentum

57
+16.2%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
2.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 77.0 Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+30 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,480
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$14,764.69
Current Value
$15,224.28
Period P&L
$459.56
Max Drawdown
-34.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
8 / 12
Best Trade
+7.35%
Worst Trade
-4.47%
Avg Trade Return
+0.18%
Avg Hold Time
4.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$522,358.00
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$459.56
Net P&L (after fees)
$459.56
Gross Return
+3.11%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.11%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $14,764.69 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET $456.39 32 $14,604.48
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 11:00am ET $441.60 32 $14,131.20 $14,504.56 $-473.28
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 1:20pm ET $454.55 31 $14,091.05
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $439.93 31 $13,637.83 $14,051.34 $-453.22
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 1:55pm ET $434.79 32 $13,913.12
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 2:30pm ET $421.21 32 $13,478.72 $13,616.94 $-434.40
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $432.11 31 $13,395.47
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:40am ET $418.69 31 $12,979.24 $13,200.70 $-416.24
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 11:55am ET $434.81 30 $13,044.30
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $415.36 30 $12,460.80 $12,617.20 $-583.50
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 12:40pm ET $418.36 30 $12,550.80
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 11:40am ET $405.00 30 $12,150.00 $12,216.40 $-400.80
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 2:40pm ET $395.85 30 $11,875.35
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:50am ET $416.30 30 $12,489.00 $12,830.05 +$613.65
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $412.86 31 $12,798.66
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 11:05am ET $400.38 31 $12,411.78 $12,443.17 $-386.88
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 11:35am ET $403.17 30 $12,095.21
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $390.92 30 $11,727.60 $12,075.56 $-367.61
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $393.62 30 $11,808.60
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 10:05am ET $414.78 30 $12,443.40 $12,710.36 +$634.80
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 10:05am ET $401.10 31 $12,434.10
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $386.00 31 $11,966.00 $12,242.26 $-468.10
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET $374.24 32 $11,975.68
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET $394.00 32 $12,608.00 $12,874.58 +$632.32
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $380.83 33 $12,567.23
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $368.52 33 $12,161.32 $12,468.68 $-405.90
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 12:40pm ET $359.92 34 $12,237.45
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $378.69 34 $12,875.46 $13,106.69 +$638.01
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $364.39 35 $12,753.64
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 11:25am ET $353.29 35 $12,365.15 $12,718.20 $-388.49
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 11:30am ET $338.92 37 $12,540.04
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $363.84 37 $13,462.08 $13,640.24 +$922.04
(+7.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
22h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:40am ET $344.43 39 $13,432.77
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 10:25am ET $361.87 39 $14,113.00 $14,320.47 +$680.23
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 1:30pm ET $387.96 36 $13,966.44
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 11:30am ET $408.67 36 $14,712.17 $15,066.20 +$745.73
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 12:25pm ET $388.60 38 $14,766.80
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $373.69 38 $14,200.22 $14,499.62 $-566.58
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 12:05pm ET $373.80 38 $14,204.59
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 11:10am ET $392.88 38 $14,929.25 $15,224.28 +$724.66
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,224.28
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,224.28
Total Return: +52.24%
Back to Marcus Reversal