Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:21:40

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.5 neutral
20d Trend
-1.8%
5d Trend
-1.9%
EMA20 Dist
-0.6%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.5/35
Total Return
8.9/25
Win Rate
1.6/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 16.7/100
× Confidence 0.90 = 15.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
6,865
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
86 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$12,693.07
Current Value
$11,084.86
Period P&L
$-1,608.20
Max Drawdown
-25.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.34

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
3 / 9
Best Trade
+6.79%
Worst Trade
-3.37%
Avg Trade Return
-1.21%
Avg Hold Time
7.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$288,912.25
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,608.20
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,608.20
Gross Return
-12.67%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.67%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VRTX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 86 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $12,693.07 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 10:35am ET $460.01 27 $12,420.14
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:55am ET $445.41 27 $12,026.07 $12,478.39 $-394.06
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 11:10am ET $466.25 26 $12,122.37
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:45am ET $451.45 26 $11,737.70 $12,093.72 $-384.67
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 11:10am ET $443.30 27 $11,969.10
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 9:45am ET $466.53 27 $12,596.18 $12,720.80 +$627.07
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 12:20pm ET $464.25 27 $12,534.75
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $472.69 27 $12,762.63 $12,948.68 +$227.88
(+1.8%)
📅 Sim Ended
17.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $491.00 26 $12,766.00
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 12:45pm ET $475.67 26 $12,367.29 $12,549.97 $-398.71
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 2:00pm ET $474.13 26 $12,327.38
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 2:25pm ET $458.75 26 $11,927.50 $12,150.09 $-399.88
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 10:10am ET $451.01 26 $11,726.26
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $481.61 26 $12,521.99 $12,945.82 +$795.73
(+6.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 11:20am ET $491.51 26 $12,779.13
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 10:20am ET $476.59 26 $12,391.34 $12,558.03 $-387.79
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 10:50am ET $470.05 26 $12,221.30
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 10:00am ET $454.22 26 $11,809.72 $12,146.45 $-411.58
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 2:25pm ET $454.99 26 $11,829.74
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 12:20pm ET $440.62 26 $11,456.05 $11,772.77 $-373.68
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 12:40pm ET $448.39 26 $11,658.14
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:15pm ET $434.79 26 $11,304.60 $11,419.23 $-353.54
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 12:55pm ET $439.83 25 $10,995.63
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $426.45 25 $10,661.25 $11,084.86 $-334.38
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,084.86
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,084.86
Total Return: +10.85%
Back to Marcus Reversal