Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-08 01:49:46

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.36%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
36.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.9%
5d Trend
-2.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

37
Lifetime
Confidence: 80%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.9/35
Total Return
13.8/25
Win Rate
9.7/15
Profit Factor
5.4/15
Consistency
7.4/10
Raw Quality 46.2/100
× Confidence 0.80 = 37.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (80%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,026
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$13,679.03
Current Value
$14,538.83
Period P&L
$859.77
Max Drawdown
-16.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.26

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
3 / 3
Best Trade
+7.19%
Worst Trade
-3.46%
Avg Trade Return
+1.03%
Avg Hold Time
18.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$162,074.86
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$859.77
Net P&L (after fees)
$859.77
Gross Return
+6.29%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.29%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VTI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $13,679.03 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 2:00pm ET $337.37 40 $13,494.80
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 2:00pm ET $336.61 40 $13,464.58 $13,714.04 $-30.22
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 2:55pm ET $340.86 40 $13,634.40
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $342.92 40 $13,717.00 $13,796.64 +$82.60
(+0.6%)
📅 Sim Ended
18d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET $334.45 41 $13,712.25
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $322.86 41 $13,237.26 $13,321.65 $-474.99
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
29.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:40am ET $323.90 41 $13,279.90
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 1:50pm ET $314.14 41 $12,879.54 $12,921.29 $-400.36
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 2:50pm ET $311.81 41 $12,784.21
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $334.23 41 $13,703.52 $13,840.60 +$919.31
(+7.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 2:25pm ET $334.99 41 $13,734.59
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 11:45am ET $352.02 41 $14,432.82 $14,538.83 +$698.23
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
14.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,538.83
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,538.83
Total Return: +45.39%
Back to Marcus Reversal