Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:08:28

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
69.1 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+6.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
69%
Bounce Ratio
8.0×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.0/35
Total Return
10.8/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 31.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 31.7

30-Day Momentum

39
+3.0%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 41.9 Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,724
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,551.15
Current Value
$12,012.53
Period P&L
$461.39
Max Drawdown
-13.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.35

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
8 / 5
Best Trade
+2.59%
Worst Trade
-1.00%
Avg Trade Return
+0.31%
Avg Hold Time
3.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$300,509.84
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$461.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$461.39
Gross Return
+3.99%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.99%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AAPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,551.15 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET $258.54 44 $11,375.76
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $259.03 44 $11,397.32 $11,572.70 +$21.56
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:50pm ET $250.70 46 $11,532.24
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $252.11 46 $11,597.06 $11,637.52 +$64.82
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:00am ET $256.18 45 $11,528.32
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 10:15am ET $257.83 45 $11,602.57 $11,711.77 +$74.25
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:55am ET $260.90 44 $11,479.60
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 2:20pm ET $259.97 44 $11,438.68 $11,670.85 $-40.92
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:35am ET $264.02 44 $11,616.88
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 11:05am ET $262.57 44 $11,553.08 $11,607.05 $-63.80
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:15pm ET $270.67 42 $11,368.14
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 2:35pm ET $270.53 42 $11,362.26 $11,601.17 $-5.88
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 3:25pm ET $272.69 42 $11,452.98
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $270.98 42 $11,380.95 $11,529.14 $-72.03
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:05pm ET $272.66 42 $11,451.73
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 2:00pm ET $273.07 42 $11,468.94 $11,546.35 +$17.21
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $265.92 43 $11,434.56
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 11:40am ET $267.64 43 $11,508.52 $11,620.31 +$73.96
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $267.58 43 $11,505.94
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:50am ET $269.69 43 $11,596.50 $11,710.87 +$90.56
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $271.91 43 $11,692.13
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $278.94 43 $11,994.42 $12,013.16 +$302.29
(+2.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
12 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $279.65 42 $11,745.51
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:35am ET $276.86 42 $11,628.33 $11,895.98 $-117.18
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
13 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $281.92 42 $11,840.43
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:50am ET $284.69 42 $11,956.98 $12,012.53 +$116.55
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,012.53
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,012.53
Total Return: +20.13%
Back to Professor Mean