Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:22:45

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.1 neutral
20d Trend
+0.3%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
9.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 15.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 14.8

30-Day Momentum

16
-0.8%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 16.9 Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,751
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,321.89
Current Value
$9,242.62
Period P&L
$-79.28
Max Drawdown
-17.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
7 / 5
Best Trade
+0.75%
Worst Trade
-1.40%
Avg Trade Return
-0.07%
Avg Hold Time
2.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$219,525.02
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-79.28
Net P&L (after fees)
$-79.28
Gross Return
-0.85%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.85%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ABBV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,321.89 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:40pm ET $205.76 45 $9,259.42
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:35pm ET $205.91 45 $9,265.95 $9,328.43 +$6.53
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:00am ET $209.96 44 $9,238.24
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 10:05am ET $211.53 44 $9,307.32 $9,397.51 +$69.08
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:10am ET $211.64 44 $9,312.16
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 2:25pm ET $209.17 44 $9,203.48 $9,288.83 $-108.68
(-1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
4.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 12:55pm ET $207.91 44 $9,147.93
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 1:40pm ET $208.26 44 $9,163.22 $9,304.12 +$15.29
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 3:35pm ET $208.26 44 $9,163.66
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:50pm ET $208.75 44 $9,185.00 $9,325.46 +$21.34
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $206.57 45 $9,295.65
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 10:55am ET $206.22 45 $9,279.90 $9,309.71 $-15.75
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 10:05am ET $204.41 45 $9,198.67
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 2:30pm ET $201.55 45 $9,069.75 $9,180.79 $-128.92
(-1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
4.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $200.00 45 $9,000.00
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:35am ET $198.48 45 $8,931.38 $9,112.17 $-68.62
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $196.82 46 $9,053.95
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $197.76 46 $9,097.19 $9,155.41 +$43.24
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:40am ET $196.03 46 $9,017.38
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:45am ET $197.50 46 $9,085.00 $9,223.03 +$67.62
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
11 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $210.03 43 $9,031.29
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:50am ET $210.02 43 $9,030.86 $9,222.60 $-0.43
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
12 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 11:45am ET $206.45 44 $9,083.80
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 12:50pm ET $206.90 44 $9,103.82 $9,242.62 +$20.02
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,242.62
Net Profit/Loss: $-757.38
Total Return: -7.57%
Back to Professor Mean