Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:20:37

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
23.9 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-9.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
3.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality 10.5/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 10.5

30-Day Momentum

17
-0.8%
30d Return
64%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.9 Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,739
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,210.93
Current Value
$8,233.23
Period P&L
$22.33
Max Drawdown
-18.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
8 / 4
Best Trade
+2.07%
Worst Trade
-4.46%
Avg Trade Return
+0.04%
Avg Hold Time
2.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$189,159.63
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$22.33
Net P&L (after fees)
$22.33
Gross Return
+0.27%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.27%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ADBE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $8,210.93 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:10pm ET $243.40 33 $8,032.20
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:25pm ET $244.10 33 $8,055.14 $8,233.84 +$22.94
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 1:25pm ET $242.04 34 $8,229.53
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $231.26 34 $7,862.70 $7,867.01 $-366.83
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET $227.12 34 $7,722.08
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 12:00pm ET $225.88 34 $7,679.75 $7,824.68 $-42.33
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 3:10pm ET $237.97 32 $7,615.04
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:30pm ET $239.24 32 $7,655.68 $7,865.32 +$40.64
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 2:15pm ET $247.51 31 $7,672.81
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 2:40pm ET $248.13 31 $7,691.91 $7,884.42 +$19.10
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $246.35 32 $7,883.07
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $246.17 32 $7,877.44 $7,878.79 $-5.63
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 1:40pm ET $253.93 31 $7,871.83
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 2:30pm ET $254.82 31 $7,899.42 $7,906.38 +$27.59
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $240.71 32 $7,702.88
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET $245.70 32 $7,862.40 $8,065.90 +$159.52
(+2.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $240.97 33 $7,952.01
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $240.24 33 $7,928.08 $8,041.97 $-23.93
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET $238.88 33 $7,883.04
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:30am ET $240.86 33 $7,948.38 $8,107.31 +$65.34
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
11 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $249.37 32 $7,979.84
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:50am ET $250.46 32 $8,014.88 $8,142.35 +$35.04
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
12 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $250.76 32 $8,024.32
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:25am ET $253.60 32 $8,115.20 $8,233.23 +$90.88
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,233.23
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,766.77
Total Return: -17.67%
Back to Professor Mean