Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:08:39

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.1/35
Total Return
11.0/25
Win Rate
8.7/15
Profit Factor
2.8/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 35.4/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 35.2

30-Day Momentum

33
+1.4%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
14
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 33.7 Conf: 0.98×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,724
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,840.77
Current Value
$12,009.51
Period P&L
$168.77
Max Drawdown
-10.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
8 / 6
Best Trade
+1.14%
Worst Trade
-0.74%
Avg Trade Return
+0.10%
Avg Hold Time
1.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$326,601.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$168.77
Net P&L (after fees)
$168.77
Gross Return
+1.43%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.43%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,840.77 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 12:20pm ET $343.06 34 $11,664.04
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:25pm ET $341.98 34 $11,627.32 $11,804.02 $-36.72
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:20pm ET $349.40 33 $11,530.20
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:50pm ET $348.97 33 $11,516.01 $11,789.83 $-14.19
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $352.66 33 $11,637.78
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 12:45pm ET $352.60 33 $11,635.64 $11,787.68 $-2.15
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 12:50pm ET $346.03 34 $11,765.02
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 1:35pm ET $346.78 34 $11,790.52 $11,813.18 +$25.50
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:50am ET $348.70 33 $11,507.10
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 12:40pm ET $346.12 33 $11,421.96 $11,728.04 $-85.14
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 2:10pm ET $347.01 33 $11,451.30
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 2:25pm ET $347.46 33 $11,466.18 $11,742.92 +$14.88
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $353.83 33 $11,676.23
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET $356.42 33 $11,761.86 $11,828.56 +$85.64
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:40am ET $342.30 34 $11,638.20
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET $342.71 34 $11,652.31 $11,842.67 +$14.11
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 2:20pm ET $344.09 34 $11,699.02
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:20pm ET $344.08 34 $11,698.72 $11,842.37 $-0.30
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $343.56 34 $11,681.04
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:30am ET $347.46 34 $11,813.81 $11,975.14 +$132.77
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 1:10pm ET $343.05 34 $11,663.87
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 1:15pm ET $343.89 34 $11,692.43 $12,003.70 +$28.56
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $335.79 35 $11,752.65
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 11:05am ET $336.73 35 $11,785.55 $12,036.60 +$32.90
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 1:25pm ET $347.84 34 $11,826.56
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 2:35pm ET $347.85 34 $11,826.90 $12,036.94 +$0.34
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
14 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $325.64 36 $11,723.18
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 11:00am ET $324.88 36 $11,695.75 $12,009.51 $-27.43
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,009.51
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,009.51
Total Return: +20.10%
Back to Professor Mean