Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:21:56

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.1 oversold
20d Trend
-18.5%
5d Trend
-17.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.4%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

29
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.1/35
Total Return
10.6/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 28.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 28.6

30-Day Momentum

27
+1.5%
30d Return
55%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 30.0 Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,739
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,599.93
Current Value
$11,775.43
Period P&L
$175.46
Max Drawdown
-15.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.17

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
6 / 5
Best Trade
+1.76%
Worst Trade
-1.65%
Avg Trade Return
+0.14%
Avg Hold Time
14.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$252,672.60
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$175.46
Net P&L (after fees)
$175.46
Gross Return
+1.51%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.51%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMZN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,599.93 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET $211.48 54 $11,419.92
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $212.00 54 $11,448.00 $11,628.05 +$28.08
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:45pm ET $221.12 52 $11,498.24
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:45pm ET $221.16 52 $11,500.58 $11,630.39 +$2.34
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:40am ET $237.26 49 $11,625.80
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 11:00am ET $237.56 49 $11,640.44 $11,645.03 +$14.64
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $247.33 47 $11,624.51
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 10:50am ET $246.31 47 $11,576.57 $11,597.09 $-47.94
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 2:10pm ET $253.16 45 $11,392.20
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $248.99 45 $11,204.33 $11,409.21 $-187.88
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $249.45 45 $11,225.25
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:40am ET $251.63 45 $11,323.35 $11,507.31 +$98.10
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:10pm ET $255.54 45 $11,499.30
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 2:20pm ET $255.25 45 $11,486.25 $11,494.27 $-13.04
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET $262.87 43 $11,303.41
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:35am ET $262.52 43 $11,288.57 $11,479.43 $-14.84
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $258.21 44 $11,361.46
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:45am ET $260.53 44 $11,463.10 $11,581.07 +$101.64
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
10 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $267.95 43 $11,522.06
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $272.67 43 $11,724.81 $11,783.82 +$202.75
(+1.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
11 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 12:30pm ET $273.87 43 $11,776.41
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 1:55pm ET $273.67 43 $11,768.02 $11,775.43 $-8.39
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,775.43
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,775.43
Total Return: +17.75%
Back to Professor Mean