Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:55:46

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.1/35
Total Return
10.0/25
Win Rate
7.6/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 25.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 25.6

30-Day Momentum

17
-2.2%
30d Return
64%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.9 Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,734
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,747.38
Current Value
$11,483.20
Period P&L
$-264.17
Max Drawdown
-16.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.12

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
7 / 4
Best Trade
+1.15%
Worst Trade
-4.56%
Avg Trade Return
-0.19%
Avg Hold Time
2.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$259,005.39
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-264.17
Net P&L (after fees)
$-264.17
Gross Return
-2.25%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.25%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,747.38 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:05am ET $147.10 79 $11,620.90
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 10:55am ET $148.28 79 $11,714.12 $11,840.59 +$93.22
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 3:00pm ET $148.07 79 $11,697.53
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:45am ET $149.35 79 $11,799.04 $11,942.10 +$101.51
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:35am ET $151.91 78 $11,848.75
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 12:55pm ET $150.92 78 $11,771.76 $11,865.11 $-76.99
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:15pm ET $160.14 74 $11,850.36
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:05pm ET $160.42 74 $11,870.78 $11,885.53 +$20.42
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 2:05pm ET $162.00 73 $11,826.00
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:50pm ET $162.22 73 $11,842.06 $11,901.59 +$16.06
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET $173.88 68 $11,823.84
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 12:15pm ET $175.88 68 $11,959.84 $12,037.59 +$136.00
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $203.38 59 $11,999.64
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 2:05pm ET $205.27 59 $12,110.93 $12,148.88 +$111.29
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $224.49 54 $12,122.46
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 11:10am ET $214.25 54 $11,569.50 $11,595.92 $-552.96
(-4.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:45am ET $196.07 59 $11,568.14
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:20am ET $198.24 59 $11,695.87 $11,723.65 +$127.73
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 2:35pm ET $211.48 55 $11,631.40
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:50pm ET $210.57 55 $11,581.35 $11,673.60 $-50.05
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
11 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $207.96 56 $11,645.76
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 11:10am ET $204.56 56 $11,455.36 $11,483.20 $-190.40
(-1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,483.20
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,483.20
Total Return: +14.83%
Back to Professor Mean