Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:24:05

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

33
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.8/35
Total Return
11.7/25
Win Rate
7.2/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 33.1/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 32.6

30-Day Momentum

49
+3.9%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
12
Trades
2.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 52.9 Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+16 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,015.05
Current Value
$12,483.31
Period P&L
$468.24
Max Drawdown
-12.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.44

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
8 / 4
Best Trade
+1.82%
Worst Trade
-0.76%
Avg Trade Return
+0.33%
Avg Hold Time
14.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$291,007.80
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$468.24
Net P&L (after fees)
$468.24
Gross Return
+3.90%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.90%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $12,015.05 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:40am ET $310.76 38 $11,808.88
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:50am ET $313.54 38 $11,914.33 $12,120.52 +$105.45
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $328.82 36 $11,837.52
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $332.10 36 $11,955.42 $12,238.42 +$117.90
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 1:30pm ET $356.63 34 $12,125.42
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 1:40pm ET $357.67 34 $12,160.61 $12,273.61 +$35.19
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $372.24 32 $11,911.84
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $370.36 32 $11,851.36 $12,213.13 $-60.48
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:40am ET $376.70 32 $12,054.29
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:45am ET $379.41 32 $12,141.12 $12,299.96 +$86.83
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 11:25am ET $392.36 31 $12,163.01
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 12:10pm ET $393.92 31 $12,211.52 $12,348.48 +$48.52
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 1:35pm ET $396.52 31 $12,292.12
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 2:30pm ET $397.10 31 $12,310.10 $12,366.46 +$17.98
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $399.70 30 $11,991.10
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $406.98 30 $12,209.40 $12,584.76 +$218.30
(+1.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:05pm ET $424.93 29 $12,323.11
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 2:40pm ET $422.38 29 $12,248.88 $12,510.52 $-74.24
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $420.46 29 $12,193.34
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 11:40am ET $417.26 29 $12,100.54 $12,417.72 $-92.80
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $399.65 31 $12,389.15
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $403.08 31 $12,495.63 $12,524.20 +$106.48
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $420.00 29 $12,180.00
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $418.59 29 $12,139.11 $12,483.31 $-40.89
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,483.31
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,483.31
Total Return: +24.83%
Back to Professor Mean