Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-24 01:25:36

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

38
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.4/35
Total Return
12.9/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 38.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 37.6

30-Day Momentum

21
+1.3%
30d Return
55%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 23.9 Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,256.14
Current Value
$13,428.65
Period P&L
$172.49
Max Drawdown
-12.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
6 / 5
Best Trade
+6.70%
Worst Trade
-2.59%
Avg Trade Return
+0.14%
Avg Hold Time
3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$293,146.31
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$172.49
Net P&L (after fees)
$172.49
Gross Return
+1.30%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.30%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $13,256.14 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:35am ET $417.01 31 $12,927.16
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 10:15am ET $421.43 31 $13,064.33 $13,393.33 +$137.17
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
2 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 1:30pm ET $437.58 30 $13,127.40
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 2:45pm ET $436.42 30 $13,092.60 $13,358.53 $-34.80
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 3:35pm ET $457.67 29 $13,272.43
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $488.34 29 $14,161.86 $14,247.96 +$889.43
(+6.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 3:20pm ET $485.34 29 $14,074.86
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $478.07 29 $13,864.03 $14,037.13 $-210.83
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $404.00 34 $13,735.95
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:50pm ET $395.64 34 $13,451.76 $13,752.94 $-284.19
(-2.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $381.23 36 $13,724.10
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:45am ET $375.90 36 $13,532.40 $13,561.24 $-191.70
(-1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET $379.76 35 $13,291.43
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 10:55am ET $381.27 35 $13,344.45 $13,614.26 +$53.02
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $389.88 34 $13,255.92
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 12:50pm ET $379.77 34 $12,912.18 $13,270.52 $-343.74
(-2.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 1:05pm ET $395.78 33 $13,060.74
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 1:55pm ET $397.57 33 $13,119.65 $13,329.43 +$58.91
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 2:25pm ET $406.83 32 $13,018.56
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 2:50pm ET $408.10 32 $13,059.04 $13,369.91 +$40.48
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 3:10pm ET $393.89 33 $12,998.37
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 3:50pm ET $395.67 33 $13,057.11 $13,428.65 +$58.74
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,428.65
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,428.65
Total Return: +34.29%
Back to Professor Mean