Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-24 01:26:11

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
62.5 neutral
20d Trend
-0.6%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
8.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 15.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 15.0

30-Day Momentum

24
+1.2%
30d Return
55%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 27.0 Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,552
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,200.51
Current Value
$9,375.67
Period P&L
$175.20
Max Drawdown
-26.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.22

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
7 / 5
Best Trade
+1.33%
Worst Trade
-1.25%
Avg Trade Return
+0.16%
Avg Hold Time
4.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$221,242.91
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$175.20
Net P&L (after fees)
$175.20
Gross Return
+1.90%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.90%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BIIB Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,200.51 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 12:40pm ET $198.48 46 $9,130.08
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 1:50pm ET $198.34 46 $9,123.41 $9,193.80 $-6.67
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
2 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 3:45pm ET $196.59 46 $9,042.91
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 10:20am ET $197.28 46 $9,074.88 $9,225.77 +$31.97
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $192.28 47 $9,037.16
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 2:55pm ET $192.67 47 $9,055.49 $9,244.10 +$18.33
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $187.48 49 $9,186.52
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $189.97 49 $9,308.53 $9,366.11 +$122.01
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:55am ET $197.96 47 $9,304.12
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 12:00pm ET $198.55 47 $9,332.08 $9,394.07 +$27.96
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 1:05pm ET $198.71 47 $9,339.37
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:40pm ET $198.39 47 $9,324.33 $9,379.03 $-15.04
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:10am ET $198.45 47 $9,327.15
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 2:20pm ET $196.72 47 $9,245.84 $9,297.72 $-81.31
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 3:50pm ET $198.94 46 $9,151.24
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $200.09 46 $9,204.14 $9,350.62 +$52.90
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $196.21 47 $9,222.10
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 10:40am ET $198.39 47 $9,324.33 $9,452.85 +$102.23
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 2:30pm ET $196.40 48 $9,427.20
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:40am ET $195.84 48 $9,400.32 $9,425.97 $-26.88
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.2h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 10:05am ET $196.46 47 $9,233.62
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 12:20pm ET $194.00 47 $9,118.00 $9,310.35 $-115.62
(-1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 11:05am ET $198.53 46 $9,132.38
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 11:55am ET $199.95 46 $9,197.70 $9,375.67 +$65.32
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,375.67
Net Profit/Loss: $-624.33
Total Return: -6.24%
Back to Professor Mean