Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:24:59

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
62.5 neutral
20d Trend
-0.6%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
8.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 14.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 14.8

30-Day Momentum

10
-2.8%
30d Return
36%
Win Rate
14
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.98×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,710
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,135.08
Current Value
$8,881.19
Period P&L
$-253.85
Max Drawdown
-26.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.42

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
5 / 9
Best Trade
+0.30%
Worst Trade
-1.63%
Avg Trade Return
-0.21%
Avg Hold Time
13.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$247,564.57
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-253.85
Net P&L (after fees)
$-253.85
Gross Return
-2.78%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.78%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BIIB Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,135.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 3:30pm ET $176.41 51 $8,996.91
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $173.54 51 $8,850.54 $8,993.76 $-146.37
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:40am ET $176.62 50 $8,830.75
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:40am ET $177.04 50 $8,852.00 $9,015.01 +$21.25
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 1:55pm ET $173.35 52 $9,013.94
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:40am ET $173.23 52 $9,007.96 $9,009.03 $-5.98
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:35pm ET $179.42 50 $8,971.00
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 2:45pm ET $178.80 50 $8,940.00 $8,978.03 $-31.00
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:35am ET $178.36 50 $8,918.00
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 11:40am ET $177.34 50 $8,867.00 $8,927.03 $-51.00
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:35pm ET $176.69 50 $8,834.50
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:35pm ET $176.66 50 $8,833.00 $8,925.53 $-1.50
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $182.36 48 $8,753.28
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $181.91 48 $8,731.92 $8,904.17 $-21.36
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 12:55pm ET $189.93 46 $8,736.78
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 1:00pm ET $190.46 46 $8,761.15 $8,928.54 +$24.37
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $187.98 47 $8,835.06
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 2:35pm ET $187.99 47 $8,835.30 $8,928.78 +$0.24
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:55am ET $183.65 48 $8,815.44
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 12:25pm ET $183.36 48 $8,801.28 $8,914.62 $-14.16
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 2:30pm ET $182.74 48 $8,771.52
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:15pm ET $183.12 48 $8,789.52 $8,932.62 +$18.00
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $192.80 46 $8,869.03
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 11:30am ET $191.36 46 $8,802.56 $8,866.15 $-66.47
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.6h held
13 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 12:10pm ET $187.29 47 $8,802.63
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 1:30pm ET $187.05 47 $8,791.35 $8,854.87 $-11.28
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
14 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 1:40pm ET $186.45 47 $8,762.92
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 2:10pm ET $187.01 47 $8,789.24 $8,881.19 +$26.32
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,881.19
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,118.81
Total Return: -11.19%
Back to Professor Mean