Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:30:04

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
73.4 overbought
20d Trend
+6.7%
5d Trend
+8.2%
EMA20 Dist
+6.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

54
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
17.9/35
Total Return
14.4/25
Win Rate
9.8/15
Profit Factor
5.2/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality 54.3/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 54.1

30-Day Momentum

20
-0.1%
30d Return
69%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 21.0 Conf: 0.95×
Declining (-34 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,752
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$15,403.23
Current Value
$15,383.17
Period P&L
$-20.09
Max Drawdown
-10.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
9 / 4
Best Trade
+0.91%
Worst Trade
-1.09%
Avg Trade Return
-0.01%
Avg Hold Time
6.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$396,225.75
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-20.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$-20.09
Gross Return
-0.13%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.13%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BMY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $15,403.23 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $58.32 264 $15,396.48
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:55am ET $58.40 264 $15,417.57 $15,424.35 +$21.09
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:20pm ET $58.62 263 $15,417.06
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:15pm ET $58.78 263 $15,457.83 $15,465.12 +$40.77
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $58.99 262 $15,455.38
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 11:50am ET $58.89 262 $15,429.18 $15,438.92 $-26.20
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:15pm ET $58.17 265 $15,416.37
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 12:45pm ET $57.54 265 $15,248.10 $15,270.65 $-168.27
(-1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
21.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:30pm ET $60.18 253 $15,225.54
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 2:40pm ET $60.31 253 $15,259.69 $15,304.80 +$34.15
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 2:45pm ET $59.35 257 $15,252.95
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 10:20am ET $58.74 257 $15,096.18 $15,148.03 $-156.77
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 10:50am ET $59.15 256 $15,142.40
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 1:30pm ET $58.85 256 $15,065.60 $15,071.23 $-76.80
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 3:30pm ET $58.98 255 $15,039.90
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:50am ET $59.09 255 $15,067.95 $15,099.28 +$28.05
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:25am ET $58.26 259 $15,088.05
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 11:40am ET $58.31 259 $15,101.00 $15,112.23 +$12.95
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 2:40pm ET $57.96 260 $15,068.30
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:10pm ET $58.11 260 $15,108.60 $15,152.53 +$40.30
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 3:30pm ET $57.83 262 $15,150.15
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:40am ET $57.99 262 $15,192.07 $15,194.45 +$41.92
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.2h held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:40am ET $58.28 260 $15,152.80
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 11:05am ET $58.81 260 $15,290.60 $15,332.25 +$137.80
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
13 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 3:35pm ET $57.15 268 $15,317.54
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $57.35 268 $15,368.46 $15,383.17 +$50.92
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,383.17
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,383.17
Total Return: +53.83%
Back to Professor Mean