Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:27:15

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
65.5 neutral
20d Trend
+1.8%
5d Trend
+4.8%
EMA20 Dist
+2.7%
ATR%
1.4%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

43
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
12.9/35
Total Return
10.7/25
Win Rate
8.9/15
Profit Factor
4.1/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 43.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 42.5

30-Day Momentum

17
-0.4%
30d Return
62%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.1 Conf: 0.95×
Declining (-25 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,740
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,886.32
Current Value
$11,841.52
Period P&L
$-44.77
Max Drawdown
-4.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.14

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
8 / 5
Best Trade
+0.26%
Worst Trade
-0.47%
Avg Trade Return
-0.03%
Avg Hold Time
8.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$299,952.40
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-44.77
Net P&L (after fees)
$-44.77
Gross Return
-0.38%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.38%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BRK-B Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,886.32 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:10pm ET $477.55 24 $11,461.32
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:55pm ET $476.86 24 $11,444.52 $11,869.49 $-16.80
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:10pm ET $476.77 24 $11,442.60
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $477.87 24 $11,468.88 $11,895.77 +$26.28
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 3:15pm ET $485.98 24 $11,663.64
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $483.69 24 $11,608.61 $11,840.74 $-55.03
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $478.37 24 $11,480.88
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 10:15am ET $479.59 24 $11,510.16 $11,870.02 +$29.28
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:45am ET $475.33 24 $11,407.80
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:05am ET $475.40 24 $11,409.60 $11,871.82 +$1.80
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 12:10pm ET $472.42 25 $11,810.62
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 1:35pm ET $472.51 25 $11,812.70 $11,873.90 +$2.08
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 3:35pm ET $475.63 24 $11,415.00
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 10:15am ET $475.30 24 $11,407.20 $11,866.10 $-7.80
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 2:25pm ET $468.51 25 $11,712.73
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:20pm ET $468.96 25 $11,723.98 $11,877.34 +$11.24
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $471.51 25 $11,787.75
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $469.52 25 $11,738.00 $11,827.59 $-49.75
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 1:10pm ET $474.21 24 $11,381.04
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 2:55pm ET $473.60 24 $11,366.40 $11,812.95 $-14.64
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 1:25pm ET $475.25 24 $11,406.00
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:15pm ET $475.96 24 $11,423.16 $11,830.11 +$17.16
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 12:30pm ET $475.30 24 $11,407.20
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 1:30pm ET $475.52 24 $11,412.36 $11,835.27 +$5.16
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
13 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 1:10pm ET $464.88 25 $11,622.00
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 1:50pm ET $465.13 25 $11,628.25 $11,841.52 +$6.25
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,841.52
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,841.52
Total Return: +18.42%
Back to Professor Mean