Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-24 01:31:03

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

20
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.6/35
Total Return
7.7/25
Win Rate
7.2/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 20.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 20.4

30-Day Momentum

31
+2.4%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 33.8 Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,480.04
Current Value
$10,734.19
Period P&L
$254.18
Max Drawdown
-42.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
8 / 4
Best Trade
+3.77%
Worst Trade
-3.81%
Avg Trade Return
+0.22%
Avg Hold Time
3.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$255,611.15
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$254.18
Net P&L (after fees)
$254.18
Gross Return
+2.43%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.43%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,480.04 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 11:55am ET $183.68 57 $10,469.76
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 12:35pm ET $185.59 57 $10,578.35 $10,588.60 +$108.59
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
2 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $170.41 62 $10,565.54
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 10:00am ET $174.92 62 $10,845.04 $10,868.10 +$279.50
(+2.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:25am ET $180.43 60 $10,825.50
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 11:00am ET $183.09 60 $10,985.27 $11,027.87 +$159.77
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $176.94 62 $10,970.28
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 12:05pm ET $174.12 62 $10,795.13 $10,852.72 $-175.15
(-1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 3:00pm ET $164.74 65 $10,708.10
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:20pm ET $163.43 65 $10,622.95 $10,767.57 $-85.15
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $164.17 65 $10,671.05
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $157.92 65 $10,264.80 $10,361.32 $-406.25
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $157.30 65 $10,224.50
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:45am ET $163.23 65 $10,609.95 $10,746.77 +$385.45
(+3.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 12:50pm ET $156.22 68 $10,622.96
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 2:25pm ET $156.35 68 $10,631.80 $10,755.61 +$8.84
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 3:00pm ET $169.83 63 $10,699.29
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 3:45pm ET $170.51 63 $10,742.13 $10,798.45 +$42.84
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $169.81 63 $10,698.03
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $166.84 63 $10,510.92 $10,611.34 $-187.11
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 1:25pm ET $162.73 65 $10,577.45
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 1:50pm ET $163.56 65 $10,631.40 $10,665.29 +$53.95
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 2:55pm ET $163.79 65 $10,646.03
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $164.85 65 $10,714.93 $10,734.19 +$68.90
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,734.19
Net Profit/Loss: +$734.19
Total Return: +7.34%
Back to Professor Mean