Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:26:41

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.3/35
Total Return
5.9/25
Win Rate
6.9/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 18.1/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 17.7

30-Day Momentum

17
-3.5%
30d Return
64%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.9 Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,740
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,788.75
Current Value
$10,411.51
Period P&L
$-377.21
Max Drawdown
-42.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.17

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
7 / 4
Best Trade
+1.93%
Worst Trade
-4.84%
Avg Trade Return
-0.31%
Avg Hold Time
7.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$232,540.48
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-377.21
Net P&L (after fees)
$-377.21
Gross Return
-3.50%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.50%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,788.75 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET $174.71 61 $10,657.61
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:15pm ET $175.48 61 $10,704.28 $10,835.38 +$46.66
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 1:05pm ET $178.42 60 $10,705.20
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:05pm ET $179.21 60 $10,752.30 $10,882.48 +$47.10
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $165.76 65 $10,774.40
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:25am ET $166.87 65 $10,846.23 $10,954.31 +$71.83
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 1:55pm ET $171.76 63 $10,820.88
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:15pm ET $172.10 63 $10,842.61 $10,976.05 +$21.74
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET $189.90 57 $10,824.30
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 10:55am ET $192.67 57 $10,982.19 $11,133.94 +$157.89
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $210.76 52 $10,959.26
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $200.56 52 $10,429.17 $10,603.85 $-530.09
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $207.38 51 $10,576.38
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 12:50pm ET $201.48 51 $10,275.48 $10,302.95 $-300.90
(-2.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $204.27 50 $10,213.75
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:55am ET $202.18 50 $10,109.25 $10,198.45 $-104.50
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $199.22 51 $10,160.22
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET $203.05 51 $10,355.80 $10,394.03 +$195.58
(+1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:40am ET $191.94 54 $10,364.76
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 11:05am ET $192.96 54 $10,419.84 $10,449.11 +$55.08
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
11 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:55am ET $200.04 52 $10,402.08
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 11:10am ET $199.32 52 $10,364.48 $10,411.51 $-37.60
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,411.51
Net Profit/Loss: +$411.51
Total Return: +4.12%
Back to Professor Mean