Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-24 01:29:26

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
68.2 neutral
20d Trend
+5.1%
5d Trend
+5.5%
EMA20 Dist
+3.1%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.0/35
Total Return
5.8/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 22.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 21.7

30-Day Momentum

47
+2.1%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
12
Trades
3.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 51.1 Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+26 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,187.64
Current Value
$10,400.74
Period P&L
$213.10
Max Drawdown
-7.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.59

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
9 / 3
Best Trade
+0.86%
Worst Trade
-0.29%
Avg Trade Return
+0.18%
Avg Hold Time
2.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$232,597.70
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$213.10
Net P&L (after fees)
$213.10
Gross Return
+2.09%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.09%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COST Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,187.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 3:50pm ET $1,004.94 10 $10,049.40
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:50am ET $1,006.64 10 $10,066.40 $10,204.64 +$17.00
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held
2 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:50am ET $952.58 10 $9,525.80
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 12:35pm ET $949.82 10 $9,498.20 $10,177.04 $-27.60
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 12:50pm ET $937.28 10 $9,372.85
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 1:15pm ET $941.67 10 $9,416.70 $10,220.89 +$43.85
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:20pm ET $952.92 10 $9,529.20
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 3:25pm ET $951.89 10 $9,518.90 $10,210.59 $-10.30
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:10am ET $978.76 10 $9,787.60
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 12:05pm ET $980.23 10 $9,802.35 $10,225.34 +$14.75
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 12:20pm ET $983.38 10 $9,833.80
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:40pm ET $987.04 10 $9,870.40 $10,261.94 +$36.60
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:40am ET $972.16 10 $9,721.65
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:45am ET $972.85 10 $9,728.50 $10,268.79 +$6.85
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:05pm ET $977.78 10 $9,777.80
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $982.12 10 $9,821.20 $10,312.19 +$43.40
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $971.66 10 $9,716.65
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 10:20am ET $980.01 10 $9,800.10 $10,395.64 +$83.45
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 2:05pm ET $983.47 10 $9,834.75
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 3:10pm ET $984.85 10 $9,848.50 $10,409.39 +$13.75
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $957.13 10 $9,571.30
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 11:00am ET $954.80 10 $9,548.05 $10,386.14 $-23.25
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 2:00pm ET $947.15 10 $9,471.50
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 2:55pm ET $948.61 10 $9,486.10 $10,400.74 +$14.60
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,400.74
Net Profit/Loss: +$400.74
Total Return: +4.01%
Back to Professor Mean