Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:26:15

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
68.2 neutral
20d Trend
+5.1%
5d Trend
+5.5%
EMA20 Dist
+3.1%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.6/35
Total Return
5.2/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 20.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 20.6

30-Day Momentum

14
-0.8%
30d Return
55%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.5 Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,740
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,416.44
Current Value
$10,327.64
Period P&L
$-88.80
Max Drawdown
-7.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.15

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
6 / 5
Best Trade
+0.80%
Worst Trade
-1.12%
Avg Trade Return
-0.08%
Avg Hold Time
4.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$220,323.56
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-88.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$-88.80
Gross Return
-0.85%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.85%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COST Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,416.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,017.96 10 $10,179.60
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $1,015.35 10 $10,153.50 $10,390.34 $-26.10
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 2:45pm ET $1,032.76 10 $10,327.55
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:45pm ET $1,034.01 10 $10,340.10 $10,402.89 +$12.55
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $993.69 10 $9,936.93
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 12:45pm ET $983.58 10 $9,835.80 $10,301.76 $-101.13
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $970.03 10 $9,700.30
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:50am ET $974.34 10 $9,743.39 $10,344.84 +$43.08
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 12:15pm ET $987.06 10 $9,870.60
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 12:35pm ET $988.05 10 $9,880.50 $10,354.74 +$9.90
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 2:30pm ET $1,000.64 10 $10,006.40
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $989.47 10 $9,894.70 $10,243.04 $-111.70
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 12:15pm ET $1,005.78 10 $10,057.80
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 1:30pm ET $1,006.17 10 $10,061.70 $10,246.94 +$3.90
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $1,003.34 10 $10,033.40
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:55am ET $1,011.35 10 $10,113.50 $10,327.04 +$80.10
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 12:35pm ET $1,005.10 10 $10,051.00
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 1:50pm ET $1,006.65 10 $10,066.50 $10,342.54 +$15.50
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 1:50pm ET $992.00 10 $9,920.00
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:10pm ET $991.51 10 $9,915.10 $10,337.64 $-4.90
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
11 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $1,012.26 10 $10,122.60
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:15pm ET $1,011.26 10 $10,112.60 $10,327.64 $-10.00
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,327.64
Net Profit/Loss: +$327.64
Total Return: +3.28%
Back to Professor Mean