Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:17:07

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+11.3%
5d Trend
+5.7%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
89%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 13.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 13.8

30-Day Momentum

36
+1.4%
30d Return
82%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 40.2 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+22 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,738
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,456.76
Current Value
$9,437.06
Period P&L
$-19.65
Max Drawdown
-10.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
9 / 3
Best Trade
+0.77%
Worst Trade
-1.59%
Avg Trade Return
-0.02%
Avg Hold Time
8.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$227,207.17
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-19.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$-19.65
Gross Return
-0.21%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.21%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CSCO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,456.76 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 12:55pm ET $82.54 114 $9,409.56
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:00pm ET $82.67 114 $9,424.38 $9,471.53 +$14.82
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $81.54 116 $9,458.64
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 10:35am ET $81.90 116 $9,500.98 $9,513.87 +$42.34
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:40am ET $82.05 115 $9,435.75
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:45am ET $81.30 115 $9,349.50 $9,427.62 $-86.25
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 3:50pm ET $86.00 109 $9,374.54
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $86.19 109 $9,395.25 $9,448.33 +$20.71
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:40am ET $87.23 108 $9,420.84
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 10:00am ET $87.85 108 $9,487.80 $9,515.29 +$66.96
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 2:10pm ET $89.75 106 $9,514.03
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 2:25pm ET $89.99 106 $9,538.94 $9,540.20 +$24.91
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $88.47 107 $9,466.29
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $87.79 107 $9,393.53 $9,467.44 $-72.76
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET $88.40 107 $9,458.80
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:15am ET $89.08 107 $9,532.09 $9,540.73 +$73.29
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 2:15pm ET $85.92 111 $9,537.12
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 2:55pm ET $86.22 111 $9,570.97 $9,574.59 +$33.86
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
10 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 12:35pm ET $92.22 103 $9,498.59
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 1:50pm ET $92.30 103 $9,506.90 $9,582.90 +$8.31
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
11 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 2:30pm ET $92.54 103 $9,531.11
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 3:25pm ET $92.59 103 $9,536.77 $9,588.56 +$5.66
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
12 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $94.14 101 $9,508.14
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $92.64 101 $9,356.64 $9,437.06 $-151.50
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,437.06
Net Profit/Loss: $-562.94
Total Return: -5.63%
Back to Professor Mean