Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:20:45

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.5 neutral
20d Trend
-7.1%
5d Trend
-7.2%
EMA20 Dist
-4.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 11.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 11.0

30-Day Momentum

41
+1.4%
30d Return
69%
Win Rate
13
Trades
2.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 42.7 Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+30 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,739
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,244.69
Current Value
$9,376.60
Period P&L
$131.84
Max Drawdown
-21.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.36

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
10 / 3
Best Trade
+0.65%
Worst Trade
-0.65%
Avg Trade Return
+0.11%
Avg Hold Time
4.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$241,112.76
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$131.84
Net P&L (after fees)
$131.84
Gross Return
+1.43%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.43%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DIS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,244.69 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 12:20pm ET $95.66 96 $9,183.36
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:35pm ET $95.66 96 $9,183.36 $9,244.76 $0.00
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $98.01 94 $9,212.94
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 10:35am ET $98.40 94 $9,249.60 $9,281.42 +$36.66
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:00am ET $99.24 93 $9,229.32
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 12:20pm ET $99.22 93 $9,227.55 $9,279.65 $-1.77
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 3:00pm ET $100.97 91 $9,188.27
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $101.13 91 $9,202.38 $9,293.75 +$14.10
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $102.20 90 $9,198.00
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:20am ET $102.24 90 $9,201.61 $9,297.36 +$3.61
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $105.83 87 $9,207.21
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:30pm ET $105.83 87 $9,207.64 $9,297.79 +$0.43
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 3:30pm ET $106.44 87 $9,260.28
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:45am ET $106.68 87 $9,281.16 $9,318.67 +$20.88
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:50am ET $103.99 89 $9,254.67
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:10am ET $104.47 89 $9,297.83 $9,361.84 +$43.17
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:15pm ET $102.34 91 $9,312.94
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 2:25pm ET $102.50 91 $9,327.50 $9,376.40 +$14.56
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:50am ET $101.17 92 $9,307.64
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:45am ET $101.83 92 $9,368.36 $9,437.12 +$60.72
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 11:30am ET $100.72 93 $9,366.95
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 11:55am ET $100.90 93 $9,384.16 $9,454.33 +$17.21
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 12:30pm ET $103.54 91 $9,422.14
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:10pm ET $103.35 91 $9,404.85 $9,437.04 $-17.29
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held
13 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 3:40pm ET $101.60 92 $9,346.74
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 11:30am ET $100.94 92 $9,286.30 $9,376.60 $-60.44
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,376.60
Net Profit/Loss: $-623.40
Total Return: -6.23%
Back to Professor Mean