Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:08:55

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
48.3 neutral
20d Trend
+3.5%
5d Trend
-2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.0%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
51%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.1/10
Raw Quality 10.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 10.0

30-Day Momentum

10
-1.4%
30d Return
31%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.95×
Cooling (-0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,724
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,343.59
Current Value
$9,216.06
Period P&L
$-127.54
Max Drawdown
-7.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.45

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
4 / 9
Best Trade
+0.24%
Worst Trade
-0.50%
Avg Trade Return
-0.11%
Avg Hold Time
1.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$237,106.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-127.54
Net P&L (after fees)
$-127.54
Gross Return
-1.36%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.36%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GLD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,343.59 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET $427.60 21 $8,979.60
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:10pm ET $427.95 21 $8,987.05 $9,351.05 +$7.45
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 1:35pm ET $435.67 21 $9,149.07
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:40pm ET $433.86 21 $9,111.06 $9,313.04 $-38.01
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 2:05pm ET $436.48 21 $9,166.08
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 2:15pm ET $437.52 21 $9,187.92 $9,334.88 +$21.84
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $442.73 21 $9,297.33
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 12:15pm ET $441.55 21 $9,272.55 $9,310.10 $-24.78
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 12:35pm ET $440.01 21 $9,240.11
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 2:05pm ET $439.85 21 $9,236.85 $9,306.85 $-3.25
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $443.08 21 $9,304.71
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 12:30pm ET $441.16 21 $9,264.36 $9,266.50 $-40.35
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 12:30pm ET $433.61 21 $9,105.81
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:45pm ET $433.32 21 $9,099.72 $9,260.41 $-6.09
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $433.73 21 $9,108.33
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:45am ET $434.41 21 $9,122.61 $9,274.69 +$14.28
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $431.63 21 $9,064.23
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 12:20pm ET $429.46 21 $9,018.66 $9,229.12 $-45.57
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $416.63 22 $9,165.86
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $416.17 22 $9,155.63 $9,218.89 $-10.23
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:20pm ET $422.88 21 $8,880.48
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 12:50pm ET $423.71 21 $8,897.91 $9,236.32 +$17.43
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 1:30pm ET $425.17 21 $8,928.57
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:15pm ET $424.86 21 $8,922.06 $9,229.81 $-6.51
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
13 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 12:00pm ET $419.39 22 $9,226.69
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 1:30pm ET $418.77 22 $9,212.94 $9,216.06 $-13.75
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,216.06
Net Profit/Loss: $-783.94
Total Return: -7.84%
Back to Professor Mean