Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:21:36

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
43.2 neutral
20d Trend
-4.5%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-2.7%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
74%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

29
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.8/35
Total Return
9.7/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 29.2/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 29.1

30-Day Momentum

26
+1.2%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 28.5 Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,751
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,231.06
Current Value
$11,362.53
Period P&L
$131.45
Max Drawdown
-9.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
7 / 5
Best Trade
+1.15%
Worst Trade
-0.96%
Avg Trade Return
+0.10%
Avg Hold Time
3.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$265,448.97
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$131.45
Net P&L (after fees)
$131.45
Gross Return
+1.17%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.17%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GOOGL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,231.06 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $299.32 37 $11,074.84
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $302.76 37 $11,202.12 $11,358.36 +$127.28
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $316.50 35 $11,077.50
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:00am ET $313.45 35 $10,970.92 $11,251.78 $-106.58
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 12:00pm ET $317.44 35 $11,110.40
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 2:20pm ET $316.96 35 $11,093.77 $11,235.15 $-16.63
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:25pm ET $331.70 33 $10,945.94
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:05pm ET $332.20 33 $10,962.63 $11,251.85 +$16.70
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET $339.69 33 $11,209.77
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 11:30am ET $338.97 33 $11,186.01 $11,228.09 $-23.76
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 12:10pm ET $335.97 33 $11,087.01
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 2:55pm ET $333.20 33 $10,995.76 $11,136.84 $-91.25
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:10pm ET $338.92 32 $10,845.44
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 2:00pm ET $339.23 32 $10,855.36 $11,146.76 +$9.92
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET $342.93 32 $10,973.76
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET $344.87 32 $11,035.84 $11,208.84 +$62.08
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $347.44 32 $11,118.08
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $346.13 32 $11,076.16 $11,166.92 $-41.92
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
10 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:50am ET $380.07 29 $11,022.03
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:55am ET $382.63 29 $11,096.27 $11,241.16 +$74.24
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
11 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:55am ET $380.73 29 $11,041.17
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:45am ET $383.22 29 $11,113.38 $11,313.37 +$72.21
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
12 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 1:20pm ET $384.58 29 $11,152.82
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 1:55pm ET $386.27 29 $11,201.97 $11,362.53 +$49.16
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,362.53
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,362.53
Total Return: +13.63%
Back to Professor Mean