Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:01:40

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
36.7 neutral
20d Trend
-7.0%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
59%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

57
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
26.3/35
Total Return
13.2/25
Win Rate
7.4/15
Profit Factor
4.0/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 57.1/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 56.8

30-Day Momentum

9
-1.1%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-48 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,723
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,908.43
Current Value
$13,751.31
Period P&L
$-157.15
Max Drawdown
-3.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.13

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
4 / 8
Best Trade
+1.92%
Worst Trade
-1.27%
Avg Trade Return
-0.09%
Avg Hold Time
4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$330,052.41
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-157.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$-157.15
Gross Return
-1.13%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.13%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $13,908.43 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET $864.48 16 $13,831.76
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:10pm ET $861.38 16 $13,782.08 $13,858.78 $-49.68
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET $859.60 16 $13,753.60
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $863.04 16 $13,808.64 $13,913.82 +$55.04
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $903.37 15 $13,550.55
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:30am ET $903.91 15 $13,558.72 $13,921.99 +$8.17
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 2:00pm ET $902.90 15 $13,543.44
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $900.49 15 $13,507.42 $13,885.98 $-36.01
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $899.07 15 $13,486.05
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $916.31 15 $13,744.61 $14,144.54 +$258.56
(+1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 1:05pm ET $925.93 15 $13,888.95
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:10pm ET $924.09 15 $13,861.35 $14,116.94 $-27.60
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 3:00pm ET $932.49 15 $13,987.42
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $934.59 15 $14,018.78 $14,148.29 +$31.35
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:35am ET $923.87 15 $13,858.05
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 11:25am ET $922.24 15 $13,833.60 $14,123.84 $-24.45
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:55am ET $933.51 15 $14,002.61
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 11:30am ET $929.38 15 $13,940.70 $14,061.93 $-61.91
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 11:30am ET $907.25 15 $13,608.75
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 1:10pm ET $902.57 15 $13,538.55 $13,991.73 $-70.20
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $924.46 15 $13,866.95
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $920.08 15 $13,801.20 $13,925.98 $-65.75
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
12 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:45am ET $915.11 15 $13,726.65
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 12:50pm ET $903.47 15 $13,551.98 $13,751.31 $-174.67
(-1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,751.31
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,751.31
Total Return: +37.51%
Back to Professor Mean