Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:24:57

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

31
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.9/35
Total Return
12.2/25
Win Rate
8.6/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 31.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 31.4

30-Day Momentum

18
+0.2%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 19.0 Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-14 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,853.17
Current Value
$12,879.23
Period P&L
$25.99
Max Drawdown
-26.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
7 / 5
Best Trade
+0.95%
Worst Trade
-2.27%
Avg Trade Return
+0.02%
Avg Hold Time
13.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$303,359.55
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$25.99
Net P&L (after fees)
$25.99
Gross Return
+0.20%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.20%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $12,853.17 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $69.85 184 $12,851.48
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $68.26 184 $12,559.84 $12,561.60 $-291.64
(-2.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:20pm ET $72.64 172 $12,494.08
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:45pm ET $72.02 172 $12,387.44 $12,454.96 $-106.64
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $69.58 179 $12,454.82
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:35am ET $69.81 179 $12,495.10 $12,495.23 +$40.27
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:25pm ET $77.52 161 $12,480.72
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:05pm ET $78.22 161 $12,594.22 $12,608.74 +$113.51
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET $85.03 148 $12,583.70
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 11:05am ET $85.83 148 $12,702.84 $12,727.88 +$119.14
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:15pm ET $91.49 139 $12,717.11
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 2:45pm ET $91.15 139 $12,669.85 $12,680.62 $-47.26
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:00am ET $88.12 143 $12,601.16
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 12:35pm ET $87.92 143 $12,572.57 $12,652.03 $-28.59
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $86.63 146 $12,647.98
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:55am ET $86.70 146 $12,658.07 $12,662.12 +$10.09
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 3:35pm ET $84.45 149 $12,583.05
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET $84.90 149 $12,650.10 $12,729.17 +$67.05
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:35am ET $81.50 156 $12,714.00
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 11:05am ET $82.19 156 $12,821.64 $12,836.81 +$107.64
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:35pm ET $72.66 176 $12,788.92
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 1:50pm ET $72.57 176 $12,773.20 $12,821.09 $-15.72
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $74.56 171 $12,749.76
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $74.90 171 $12,807.90 $12,879.23 +$58.14
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,879.23
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,879.23
Total Return: +28.79%
Back to Professor Mean