Compendium › Professor Mean › IBM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
IBM
Alpaca Tradeable

Professor Mean's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-06 to present • 14 trades in period

+1.25%
Last Month Return
$10,468.20
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$10,339.51
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:16:54

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.9/35
Total Return
6.4/25
Win Rate
7.9/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 21.5/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 21.4

30-Day Momentum

30
+1.5%
30d Return
62%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 31.2 Conf: 0.95×
Steady (+8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,737
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,339.51
Current Value
$10,468.20
Period P&L
$128.73
Max Drawdown
-9.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
8 / 6
Best Trade
+1.97%
Worst Trade
-1.59%
Avg Trade Return
+0.09%
Avg Hold Time
2.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$284,181.66
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$128.73
Net P&L (after fees)
$128.73
Gross Return
+1.25%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.25%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,339.51 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:50am ET $246.20 41 $10,094.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 11:55am ET $245.43 41 $10,062.63 $10,307.90 $-31.57
(-0.3%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $242.69 42 $10,192.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $244.63 42 $10,274.67 $10,389.59 +$81.69
(+0.8%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $239.78 43 $10,310.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:50am ET $235.96 43 $10,146.13 $10,225.18 $-164.41
(-1.6%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 2:10pm ET $231.16 44 $10,171.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:05pm ET $231.33 44 $10,178.52 $10,232.66 +$7.48
(+0.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:00pm ET $239.77 42 $10,070.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:10pm ET $239.63 42 $10,064.25 $10,226.57 $-6.09
(-0.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 2:30pm ET $249.95 40 $9,997.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:50pm ET $250.43 40 $10,017.40 $10,246.17 +$19.60
(+0.2%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:40am ET $252.16 40 $10,086.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:45am ET $253.76 40 $10,150.20 $10,309.97 +$63.80
(+0.6%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 12:05pm ET $252.40 40 $10,096.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 2:30pm ET $249.51 40 $9,980.60 $10,194.57 $-115.40
(-1.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:40am ET $227.53 44 $10,011.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:45am ET $228.52 44 $10,055.10 $10,238.35 +$43.78
(+0.4%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 2:45pm ET $227.61 44 $10,014.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:30pm ET $228.05 44 $10,034.21 $10,257.72 +$19.37
(+0.2%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $230.61 44 $10,146.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 11:00am ET $230.01 44 $10,120.66 $10,231.54 $-26.18
(-0.3%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 3:35pm ET $230.46 44 $10,140.46 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $235.00 44 $10,340.00 $10,431.08 +$199.54
(+2.0%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held
13 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:45am ET $231.13 45 $10,400.85 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:05am ET $232.44 45 $10,459.80 $10,490.03 +$58.95
(+0.6%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
14 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $228.73 45 $10,292.85 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:20am ET $228.24 45 $10,271.02 $10,468.20 $-21.83
(-0.2%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,468.20
Net Profit/Loss: +$468.20
Total Return: +4.68%
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