Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:02:07

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
24.1 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

33
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.0/35
Total Return
11.7/25
Win Rate
8.1/15
Profit Factor
2.5/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 33.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 33.0

30-Day Momentum

16
-2.1%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 16.9 Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-17 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,704.91
Current Value
$12,440.32
Period P&L
$-264.60
Max Drawdown
-17.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.24

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
7 / 5
Best Trade
+0.90%
Worst Trade
-1.84%
Avg Trade Return
-0.18%
Avg Hold Time
1.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$297,901.77
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-264.60
Net P&L (after fees)
$-264.60
Gross Return
-2.08%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.08%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $12,704.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET $451.39 28 $12,639.06
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:25pm ET $451.42 28 $12,639.90 $12,705.76 +$0.84
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $458.45 27 $12,378.15
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:35am ET $454.86 27 $12,281.35 $12,608.96 $-96.80
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:45am ET $449.99 28 $12,599.72
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 12:50pm ET $450.80 28 $12,622.54 $12,631.78 +$22.82
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 1:10pm ET $468.49 26 $12,180.87
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 1:45pm ET $470.05 26 $12,221.43 $12,672.34 +$40.56
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:40am ET $465.02 27 $12,555.67
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 11:20am ET $460.29 27 $12,427.83 $12,544.50 $-127.84
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $471.58 26 $12,261.08
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:50pm ET $468.56 26 $12,182.56 $12,465.98 $-78.52
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:40am ET $461.01 27 $12,447.27
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:50am ET $465.15 27 $12,559.05 $12,577.76 +$111.78
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 3:10pm ET $483.42 26 $12,569.05
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:40pm ET $485.52 26 $12,623.65 $12,632.36 +$54.60
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:35am ET $475.44 26 $12,361.44
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:35am ET $477.32 26 $12,410.37 $12,681.29 +$48.93
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 1:00pm ET $473.82 26 $12,319.32
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:30pm ET $471.93 26 $12,270.18 $12,632.15 $-49.14
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $460.00 27 $12,420.00
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 11:45am ET $451.55 27 $12,191.85 $12,404.00 $-228.15
(-1.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $457.46 27 $12,351.55
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:00pm ET $458.81 27 $12,387.87 $12,440.32 +$36.32
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,440.32
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,440.32
Total Return: +24.40%
Back to Professor Mean