Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-20 19:38:53

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
88.4 overbought
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+5.8%
EMA20 Dist
+6.5%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
40.5×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

49
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
15.4/35
Total Return
11.7/25
Win Rate
9.5/15
Profit Factor
4.8/15
Consistency
7.7/10
Raw Quality 49.1/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 49.0

30-Day Momentum

27
+1.0%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 29.4 Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-22 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,372.52
Current Value
$12,495.04
Period P&L
$122.56
Max Drawdown
-5.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
8 / 4
Best Trade
+1.64%
Worst Trade
-1.68%
Avg Trade Return
+0.09%
Avg Hold Time
11h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$293,330.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$122.56
Net P&L (after fees)
$122.56
Gross Return
+0.99%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.99%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $12,372.52 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $229.70 53 $12,174.10
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 10:00am ET $229.88 53 $12,183.64 $12,382.02 +$9.54
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held
2 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $232.97 53 $12,347.41
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 11:10am ET $230.24 53 $12,202.72 $12,237.33 $-144.69
(-1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
3 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 12:40pm ET $231.63 52 $12,044.50
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 2:25pm ET $231.87 52 $12,057.24 $12,250.07 +$12.74
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
4 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:40am ET $229.33 53 $12,154.49
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 2:55pm ET $225.47 53 $11,949.91 $12,045.49 $-204.58
(-1.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $222.45 54 $12,012.03
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:40am ET $223.96 54 $12,094.11 $12,127.57 +$82.08
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 3:35pm ET $223.51 54 $12,069.54
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $227.18 54 $12,267.72 $12,325.75 +$198.18
(+1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 3:00pm ET $232.74 52 $12,102.48
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:35am ET $234.13 52 $12,174.76 $12,398.03 +$72.28
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 3:20pm ET $236.99 52 $12,323.22
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $238.79 52 $12,416.82 $12,491.63 +$93.60
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 3:45pm ET $240.33 51 $12,256.83
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $239.66 51 $12,222.66 $12,457.46 $-34.17
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:45am ET $234.21 53 $12,413.13
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:35am ET $234.30 53 $12,417.90 $12,462.23 +$4.77
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 2:00pm ET $233.31 53 $12,365.43
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:10pm ET $232.90 53 $12,343.70 $12,440.50 $-21.73
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:20pm ET $228.53 54 $12,340.62
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 3:40pm ET $229.54 54 $12,395.16 $12,495.04 +$54.54
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,495.04
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,495.04
Total Return: +24.95%
Back to Professor Mean