Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:26:34

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
88.4 overbought
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+5.8%
EMA20 Dist
+6.5%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
40.5×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

47
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.6/35
Total Return
11.3/25
Win Rate
9.5/15
Profit Factor
4.7/15
Consistency
7.9/10
Raw Quality 47.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 46.9

30-Day Momentum

29
+1.4%
30d Return
62%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 30.4 Conf: 0.95×
Declining (-18 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,740
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,033.06
Current Value
$12,199.62
Period P&L
$166.60
Max Drawdown
-5.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
8 / 5
Best Trade
+1.28%
Worst Trade
-1.49%
Avg Trade Return
+0.11%
Avg Hold Time
5.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$310,972.02
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$166.60
Net P&L (after fees)
$166.60
Gross Return
+1.38%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.38%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $12,033.06 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $240.19 50 $12,009.50
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $237.80 50 $11,890.00 $11,913.52 $-119.50
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:35am ET $235.84 50 $11,792.00
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 10:05am ET $238.15 50 $11,907.50 $12,029.02 +$115.50
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 2:25pm ET $243.05 49 $11,909.45
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 11:25am ET $239.42 49 $11,731.58 $11,851.15 $-177.87
(-1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
21h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $234.67 50 $11,733.50
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $237.66 50 $11,883.25 $12,000.90 +$149.75
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET $237.80 50 $11,890.00
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 1:20pm ET $237.68 50 $11,883.75 $11,994.65 $-6.25
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:40am ET $232.55 51 $11,860.05
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:00am ET $234.14 51 $11,941.14 $12,075.74 +$81.09
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 12:45pm ET $232.46 51 $11,855.46
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 1:35pm ET $232.82 51 $11,873.82 $12,094.10 +$18.36
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $230.39 52 $11,980.28
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $229.79 52 $11,949.08 $12,062.90 $-31.20
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $225.55 53 $11,954.10
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:10am ET $227.91 53 $12,079.23 $12,188.03 +$125.13
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:10pm ET $228.97 53 $12,135.41
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 2:10pm ET $227.11 53 $12,036.83 $12,089.45 $-98.58
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 2:45pm ET $227.04 53 $12,033.12
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $228.26 53 $12,097.52 $12,153.85 +$64.40
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $228.90 53 $12,131.44
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:10am ET $229.57 53 $12,167.21 $12,189.63 +$35.78
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
13 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 3:15pm ET $224.41 54 $12,118.41
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 3:50pm ET $224.60 54 $12,128.40 $12,199.62 +$9.99
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,199.62
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,199.62
Total Return: +22.00%
Back to Professor Mean