Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:22:11

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.6 neutral
20d Trend
-0.6%
5d Trend
+1.6%
EMA20 Dist
+0.2%
ATR%
1.7%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

34
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.1/35
Total Return
10.5/25
Win Rate
8.1/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 34.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 34.1

30-Day Momentum

49
+3.4%
30d Return
62%
Win Rate
13
Trades
2.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 51.5 Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+15 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,751
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,368.46
Current Value
$11,748.91
Period P&L
$380.42
Max Drawdown
-7.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.53

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
8 / 5
Best Trade
+1.04%
Worst Trade
-0.58%
Avg Trade Return
+0.26%
Avg Hold Time
2.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$298,224.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$380.42
Net P&L (after fees)
$380.42
Gross Return
+3.35%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.35%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JPM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,368.46 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $293.25 38 $11,143.50
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET $295.38 38 $11,224.54 $11,449.53 +$81.04
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $294.01 38 $11,172.38
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:55am ET $295.54 38 $11,230.52 $11,507.67 +$58.14
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 1:40pm ET $306.40 37 $11,336.80
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:50pm ET $307.32 37 $11,370.84 $11,541.71 +$34.04
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $309.47 37 $11,450.21
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:30am ET $309.44 37 $11,449.28 $11,540.78 $-0.93
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:25am ET $311.04 37 $11,508.48
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 10:50am ET $312.83 37 $11,574.89 $11,607.19 +$66.41
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 3:45pm ET $305.44 38 $11,606.72
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:35am ET $308.23 38 $11,712.55 $11,713.02 +$105.83
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $312.28 37 $11,554.36
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:20pm ET $311.41 37 $11,522.17 $11,680.83 $-32.19
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET $315.54 37 $11,674.98
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:40pm ET $314.77 37 $11,646.49 $11,652.34 $-28.49
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 12:40pm ET $313.20 37 $11,588.40
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 2:20pm ET $311.38 37 $11,520.88 $11,584.81 $-67.53
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 2:45pm ET $308.16 37 $11,401.92
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 3:35pm ET $308.51 37 $11,414.87 $11,597.76 +$12.95
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:45pm ET $312.42 37 $11,559.72
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:40pm ET $311.62 37 $11,529.94 $11,567.98 $-29.78
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $306.99 37 $11,358.63
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET $310.17 37 $11,476.29 $11,685.64 +$117.66
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
13 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:40am ET $312.59 37 $11,565.83
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:55am ET $314.30 37 $11,629.10 $11,748.91 +$63.27
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,748.91
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,748.91
Total Return: +17.49%
Back to Professor Mean