Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 17:51:22

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.7/10
Raw Quality 10.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 10.7

30-Day Momentum

19
-2.3%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 20.0 Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$7,916.30
Current Value
$7,861.72
Period P&L
$-54.55
Max Drawdown
-30.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
10 / 3
Best Trade
+1.64%
Worst Trade
-6.44%
Avg Trade Return
-0.08%
Avg Hold Time
5.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$209,529.14
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-54.55
Net P&L (after fees)
$-54.55
Gross Return
-0.69%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.69%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $7,916.30 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 3:25pm ET $5.61 1,419 $7,960.59
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $5.67 1,419 $8,045.73 $8,050.37 +$85.14
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held
2 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $5.65 1,424 $8,045.60
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:35am ET $5.70 1,424 $8,123.92 $8,128.69 +$78.32
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
3 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 2:00pm ET $5.90 1,377 $8,124.30
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 3:15pm ET $5.93 1,377 $8,172.49 $8,176.88 +$48.19
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
4 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 3:15pm ET $6.01 1,361 $8,172.81
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 10:00am ET $6.04 1,361 $8,220.44 $8,224.51 +$47.63
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held
5 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $6.41 1,282 $8,224.03
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 10:05am ET $6.52 1,282 $8,358.51 $8,358.99 +$134.48
(+1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 12:10pm ET $6.71 1,245 $8,353.95
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 1:10pm ET $6.76 1,245 $8,422.42 $8,427.46 +$68.47
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 2:15pm ET $6.37 1,322 $8,421.54
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $5.96 1,322 $7,878.86 $7,884.78 $-542.68
(-6.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 2:50pm ET $5.70 1,382 $7,884.31
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:05pm ET $5.74 1,382 $7,932.68 $7,933.15 +$48.37
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:55am ET $5.04 1,574 $7,932.96
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 11:25am ET $5.07 1,574 $7,972.31 $7,972.50 +$39.35
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $4.95 1,608 $7,967.64
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 12:00pm ET $4.90 1,608 $7,871.96 $7,876.82 $-95.68
(-1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 12:00pm ET $5.01 1,570 $7,873.55
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 12:40pm ET $5.09 1,570 $7,999.15 $8,002.42 +$125.60
(+1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 1:20pm ET $5.40 1,481 $7,997.40
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 3:35pm ET $5.30 1,481 $7,856.70 $7,861.72 $-140.70
(-1.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 2:00pm ET $5.32 1,477 $7,857.64
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:45pm ET $5.32 1,477 $7,857.64 $7,861.72 $0.00
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,861.72
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,138.28
Total Return: -21.38%
Back to Professor Mean