Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:08:16

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
71.6 overbought
20d Trend
+5.3%
5d Trend
+2.7%
EMA20 Dist
+2.8%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
87%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

48
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
18.8/35
Total Return
12.0/25
Win Rate
6.9/15
Profit Factor
4.8/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 48.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 48.1

30-Day Momentum

14
-0.2%
30d Return
54%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.2 Conf: 0.95×
Declining (-34 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,724
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,715.08
Current Value
$12,686.02
Period P&L
$-29.04
Max Drawdown
-4.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
7 / 6
Best Trade
+0.87%
Worst Trade
-0.73%
Avg Trade Return
-0.02%
Avg Hold Time
7.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$323,963.79
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-29.04
Net P&L (after fees)
$-29.04
Gross Return
-0.23%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.23%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MCD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $12,715.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $306.50 41 $12,566.50
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET $307.25 41 $12,597.25 $12,745.81 +$30.75
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $308.78 41 $12,659.98
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 12:20pm ET $306.53 41 $12,567.53 $12,653.36 $-92.45
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 2:40pm ET $310.50 40 $12,420.00
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:10pm ET $310.81 40 $12,432.40 $12,665.76 +$12.40
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:25pm ET $305.25 41 $12,515.25
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 10:15am ET $304.82 41 $12,497.42 $12,647.93 $-17.83
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:35am ET $305.43 41 $12,522.63
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:50am ET $306.28 41 $12,557.48 $12,682.78 +$34.85
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:45am ET $310.71 40 $12,428.40
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 11:45am ET $309.11 40 $12,364.20 $12,618.58 $-64.20
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 12:55pm ET $302.90 41 $12,418.90
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 2:35pm ET $302.37 41 $12,397.17 $12,596.85 $-21.73
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 3:35pm ET $300.07 41 $12,302.87
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $302.67 41 $12,409.47 $12,703.45 +$106.60
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $302.47 41 $12,401.27
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 12:20pm ET $300.32 41 $12,313.12 $12,615.30 $-88.15
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 12:20pm ET $294.11 42 $12,352.80
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 1:00pm ET $294.46 42 $12,367.32 $12,629.82 +$14.52
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 2:05pm ET $292.79 43 $12,589.97
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:50pm ET $291.76 43 $12,545.68 $12,585.53 $-44.29
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:15pm ET $287.45 43 $12,360.35
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:15pm ET $287.72 43 $12,371.96 $12,597.14 +$11.61
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
13 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:40am ET $283.13 44 $12,457.50
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:00am ET $285.14 44 $12,546.38 $12,686.02 +$88.88
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,686.02
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,686.02
Total Return: +26.86%
Back to Professor Mean