Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
3,026
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
25 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$6,954.98
Current Value
$6,313.80
Period P&L
$-641.16
Max Drawdown
-31.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.17

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
9 / 4
Best Trade
+3.77%
Worst Trade
-12.86%
Avg Trade Return
-0.66%
Avg Hold Time
3.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$181,168.98
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-641.16
Net P&L (after fees)
$-641.16
Gross Return
-9.22%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.22%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 25 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $6,954.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 11:25am ET $40.26 172 $6,924.20
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 1:00pm ET $40.09 172 $6,896.10 $6,926.87 $-28.10
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 2:50pm ET $40.67 170 $6,913.90
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET $40.67 170 $6,913.90 $6,926.87 $0.00
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 12:30pm ET $42.10 164 $6,903.58
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 12:40pm ET $42.43 164 $6,958.52 $6,981.81 +$54.94
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 11:55am ET $53.24 131 $6,974.44
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 1:50pm ET $53.29 131 $6,980.34 $6,987.70 +$5.89
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 3:00pm ET $47.38 147 $6,964.86
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 3:30pm ET $48.09 147 $7,069.23 $7,092.07 +$104.37
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 11:40am ET $48.60 145 $7,047.00
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 1:45pm ET $47.06 145 $6,823.70 $6,868.77 $-223.30
(-3.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 2:25pm ET $44.36 154 $6,830.67
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 2:45pm ET $44.73 154 $6,888.42 $6,926.52 +$57.75
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $45.66 151 $6,894.66
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 11:40am ET $45.01 151 $6,796.51 $6,828.37 $-98.15
(-1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 12:30pm ET $43.15 158 $6,816.91
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 1:35pm ET $44.77 158 $7,073.66 $7,085.12 +$256.75
(+3.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 11:00am ET $41.89 169 $7,079.41
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 12:00pm ET $42.28 169 $7,144.48 $7,150.19 +$65.07
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 2:45pm ET $40.32 177 $7,136.64
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:40pm ET $40.69 177 $7,202.13 $7,215.68 +$65.49
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:30pm ET $41.02 175 $7,178.50
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 1:35pm ET $41.19 175 $7,207.38 $7,244.55 +$28.88
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 2:30pm ET $42.59 170 $7,240.30
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $37.12 170 $6,309.55 $6,313.80 $-930.75
(-12.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,313.80
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,686.20
Total Return: -36.86%
Back to Professor Mean