Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:12:41

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.7 oversold
20d Trend
-16.1%
5d Trend
-8.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.8%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 12.6/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 12.5

30-Day Momentum

25
+1.2%
30d Return
55%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 27.9 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+13 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,737
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,497.39
Current Value
$9,614.86
Period P&L
$117.54
Max Drawdown
-10.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
6 / 5
Best Trade
+1.34%
Worst Trade
-1.17%
Avg Trade Return
+0.12%
Avg Hold Time
55m

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$203,224.95
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$117.54
Net P&L (after fees)
$117.54
Gross Return
+1.24%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.24%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MSFT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,497.39 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $370.46 25 $9,261.50
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $370.25 25 $9,256.25 $9,492.07 $-5.25
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 1:20pm ET $377.46 25 $9,436.53
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:50pm ET $373.05 25 $9,326.25 $9,381.78 $-110.29
(-1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:00pm ET $392.90 23 $9,036.70
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:15pm ET $392.11 23 $9,018.42 $9,363.50 $-18.28
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:10pm ET $425.93 21 $8,944.53
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:25pm ET $422.85 21 $8,879.75 $9,298.72 $-64.78
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 1:20pm ET $423.56 21 $8,894.73
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:40pm ET $425.97 21 $8,945.37 $9,349.36 +$50.64
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 2:30pm ET $430.64 21 $9,043.34
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 2:50pm ET $431.77 21 $9,067.07 $9,373.09 +$23.73
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET $417.75 22 $9,190.50
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:25am ET $423.10 22 $9,308.20 $9,490.79 +$117.70
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 2:05pm ET $427.08 22 $9,395.87
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:00pm ET $427.35 22 $9,401.70 $9,496.62 +$5.83
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $410.24 23 $9,435.52
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET $409.40 23 $9,416.20 $9,477.30 $-19.32
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
10 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $411.52 23 $9,464.94
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:45am ET $417.03 23 $9,591.69 $9,604.05 +$126.75
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
11 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:50am ET $410.85 23 $9,449.55
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 11:05am ET $411.32 23 $9,460.36 $9,614.86 +$10.81
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,614.86
Net Profit/Loss: $-385.14
Total Return: -3.85%
Back to Professor Mean