Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:28:35

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.9/35
Total Return
11.9/25
Win Rate
8.3/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 31.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 31.8

30-Day Momentum

67
+7.2%
30d Return
83%
Win Rate
12
Trades
7.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 72.0 Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+35 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,752
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,743.34
Current Value
$12,591.42
Period P&L
$848.05
Max Drawdown
-23.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.78

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
10 / 2
Best Trade
+2.73%
Worst Trade
-0.42%
Avg Trade Return
+0.60%
Avg Hold Time
6.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$289,952.56
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$848.05
Net P&L (after fees)
$848.05
Gross Return
+7.22%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.22%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,743.34 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET $377.93 31 $11,715.83
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:30pm ET $380.56 31 $11,797.34 $11,824.89 +$81.52
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET $373.30 31 $11,572.30
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:45pm ET $373.92 31 $11,591.52 $11,844.11 +$19.22
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:40am ET $410.40 28 $11,491.20
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:55am ET $421.61 28 $11,805.16 $12,158.07 +$313.96
(+2.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 10:05am ET $449.54 27 $12,137.45
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:15am ET $452.76 27 $12,224.52 $12,245.15 +$87.08
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 12:35pm ET $454.50 26 $11,817.00
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 1:25pm ET $458.79 26 $11,928.54 $12,356.69 +$111.54
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 3:20pm ET $455.31 27 $12,293.37
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $458.46 27 $12,378.42 $12,441.74 +$85.05
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $482.23 25 $12,055.87
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:35am ET $480.40 25 $12,010.00 $12,395.87 $-45.87
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:30pm ET $495.08 25 $12,376.88
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 1:50pm ET $497.45 25 $12,436.25 $12,455.24 +$59.37
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 2:00pm ET $518.26 24 $12,438.24
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:05pm ET $519.36 24 $12,464.64 $12,481.64 +$26.40
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 12:30pm ET $514.30 24 $12,343.17
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:15pm ET $512.15 24 $12,291.53 $12,429.99 $-51.65
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
11 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $511.03 24 $12,264.72
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:35am ET $515.35 24 $12,368.40 $12,533.67 +$103.68
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
12 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 2:10pm ET $573.63 21 $12,046.23
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 2:55pm ET $576.38 21 $12,103.98 $12,591.42 +$57.75
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,591.42
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,591.42
Total Return: +25.91%
Back to Professor Mean