Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:14:08

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.2 neutral
20d Trend
+92.9%
5d Trend
-10.5%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
12.0%
Range Pos
60%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.3/35
Total Return
10.2/25
Win Rate
6.3/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 26.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 26.6

30-Day Momentum

20
-3.0%
30d Return
69%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 21.0 Conf: 0.95×
Cooling (-7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,944.54
Current Value
$11,589.44
Period P&L
$-355.13
Max Drawdown
-16.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
9 / 4
Best Trade
+2.35%
Worst Trade
-8.77%
Avg Trade Return
-0.19%
Avg Hold Time
8.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$285,109.76
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-355.13
Net P&L (after fees)
$-355.13
Gross Return
-2.97%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.97%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NET Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,944.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:05pm ET $211.26 56 $11,830.28
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:50pm ET $211.98 56 $11,870.88 $11,985.17 +$40.60
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:55pm ET $211.51 56 $11,844.57
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $205.20 56 $11,491.20 $11,631.80 $-353.37
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $184.45 63 $11,620.04
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:10am ET $168.26 63 $10,600.69 $10,612.46 $-1,019.34
(-8.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:05pm ET $179.59 59 $10,595.81
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:15pm ET $179.54 59 $10,593.15 $10,609.81 $-2.65
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 2:10pm ET $196.22 54 $10,595.88
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:40pm ET $196.96 54 $10,635.84 $10,649.77 +$39.96
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 1:10pm ET $207.94 51 $10,604.94
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 2:10pm ET $208.50 51 $10,633.50 $10,678.33 +$28.56
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $200.42 53 $10,622.26
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET $199.43 53 $10,569.53 $10,625.60 $-52.73
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 10:25am ET $202.61 52 $10,535.72
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 11:15am ET $203.90 52 $10,602.80 $10,692.68 +$67.08
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 3:30pm ET $212.00 50 $10,600.00
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $214.96 50 $10,748.00 $10,840.68 +$148.00
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $205.48 52 $10,684.70
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:50am ET $209.08 52 $10,872.16 $11,028.14 +$187.46
(+1.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET $201.71 54 $10,892.34
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 11:00am ET $204.47 54 $11,041.39 $11,177.18 +$149.04
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 3:20pm ET $216.77 51 $11,055.52
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $219.67 51 $11,203.17 $11,324.83 +$147.65
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
13 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $239.37 47 $11,250.39
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:10am ET $245.00 47 $11,515.00 $11,589.44 +$264.61
(+2.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,589.44
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,589.44
Total Return: +15.89%
Back to Professor Mean