Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:16:56

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.8%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
4.5%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
2.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 12.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 12.0

30-Day Momentum

48
+4.0%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 52.1 Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+36 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,738
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,095.20
Current Value
$9,544.31
Period P&L
$449.15
Max Drawdown
-30.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.37

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
10 / 3
Best Trade
+2.42%
Worst Trade
-1.29%
Avg Trade Return
+0.38%
Avg Hold Time
3.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$242,533.16
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$449.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$449.15
Gross Return
+4.94%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.94%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NIO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,095.20 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 12:15pm ET $6.30 1,442 $9,091.81
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:10pm ET $6.25 1,442 $9,012.50 $9,015.85 $-79.31
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:45pm ET $6.41 1,405 $9,013.07
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $6.57 1,405 $9,230.85 $9,233.63 +$217.78
(+2.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:10pm ET $6.43 1,436 $9,233.48
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:15pm ET $6.45 1,436 $9,255.02 $9,255.17 +$21.54
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 3:40pm ET $6.49 1,426 $9,255.17
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $6.52 1,426 $9,297.52 $9,297.52 +$42.35
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $6.48 1,434 $9,292.32
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:10am ET $6.49 1,434 $9,306.66 $9,311.86 +$14.34
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $6.82 1,365 $9,309.30
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 2:20pm ET $6.85 1,365 $9,350.39 $9,352.95 +$41.09
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $6.64 1,408 $9,349.12
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 11:15am ET $6.56 1,408 $9,236.34 $9,240.17 $-112.78
(-1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 3:00pm ET $6.52 1,417 $9,238.84
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:05pm ET $6.55 1,417 $9,288.43 $9,289.76 +$49.59
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $6.16 1,508 $9,289.28
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:25am ET $6.24 1,508 $9,408.41 $9,408.89 +$119.13
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $6.15 1,529 $9,403.35
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:00am ET $6.24 1,529 $9,533.32 $9,538.86 +$129.97
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 11:55am ET $6.40 1,490 $9,536.15
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 1:15pm ET $6.43 1,490 $9,578.47 $9,581.18 +$42.32
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $6.19 1,547 $9,575.93
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:35am ET $6.11 1,547 $9,452.17 $9,457.42 $-123.76
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
13 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $5.71 1,655 $9,454.19
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:35am ET $5.76 1,655 $9,541.07 $9,544.31 +$86.89
(+0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,544.31
Net Profit/Loss: $-455.69
Total Return: -4.56%
Back to Professor Mean