Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:23:31

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.2/10
Raw Quality 8.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 8.6

30-Day Momentum

58
+6.3%
30d Return
62%
Win Rate
13
Trades
2.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 60.6 Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+49 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,553.00
Current Value
$9,133.27
Period P&L
$580.31
Max Drawdown
-27.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.39

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
9 / 5
Best Trade
+3.37%
Worst Trade
-1.25%
Avg Trade Return
+0.48%
Avg Hold Time
5.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$244,114.15
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$580.31
Net P&L (after fees)
$580.31
Gross Return
+6.78%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.78%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $8,553.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:10am ET $145.09 58 $8,414.93
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 11:50am ET $144.68 58 $8,391.15 $8,529.18 $-23.78
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:25pm ET $142.48 59 $8,406.32
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:30pm ET $143.05 59 $8,439.95 $8,562.81 +$33.63
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $141.22 60 $8,473.20
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $139.66 60 $8,379.60 $8,469.21 $-93.60
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 2:05pm ET $138.20 61 $8,429.90
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:30pm ET $137.86 61 $8,409.46 $8,448.77 $-20.44
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:10pm ET $161.60 52 $8,403.21
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:15pm ET $162.80 52 $8,465.60 $8,511.17 +$62.40
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $169.79 50 $8,489.25
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $175.50 50 $8,775.00 $8,796.92 +$285.75
(+3.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 11:45am ET $177.39 49 $8,692.11
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 1:05pm ET $178.17 49 $8,730.21 $8,835.02 +$38.10
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $182.04 48 $8,738.16
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $185.91 48 $8,923.68 $9,020.54 +$185.52
(+2.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $179.80 50 $8,990.00
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET $178.97 50 $8,948.50 $8,979.04 $-41.50
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 12:00pm ET $170.87 52 $8,885.24
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 1:15pm ET $171.15 52 $8,899.73 $8,993.53 +$14.49
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 3:05pm ET $172.54 52 $8,972.34
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:20pm ET $173.23 52 $9,007.96 $9,029.15 +$35.62
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $165.63 54 $8,944.02
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $163.56 54 $8,832.24 $8,917.37 $-111.78
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET $161.35 55 $8,874.25
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:45am ET $164.53 55 $9,049.15 $9,092.27 +$174.90
(+2.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
14 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 2:10pm ET $181.08 50 $9,054.00
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:35am ET $181.90 50 $9,095.00 $9,133.27 +$41.00
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,133.27
Net Profit/Loss: $-866.73
Total Return: -8.67%
Back to Professor Mean