Compendium › Professor Mean › PFE
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PFE
Alpaca Tradeable

Professor Mean's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-24 to present • 13 trades in period

+0.40%
Last Month Return
$10,532.87
Current Value
62%
Win Rate
$10,490.98
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-24 01:25:36

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
56.4 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+0.2%
EMA20 Dist
+1.5%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
77%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.6/35
Total Return
6.7/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 21.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 20.9

30-Day Momentum

23
+0.4%
30d Return
62%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 23.8 Conf: 0.95×
Steady (+2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,490.98
Current Value
$10,532.87
Period P&L
$41.95
Max Drawdown
-11.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
8 / 5
Best Trade
+0.63%
Worst Trade
-0.41%
Avg Trade Return
+0.03%
Avg Hold Time
3.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$272,032.28
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$41.95
Net P&L (after fees)
$41.95
Gross Return
+0.40%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.40%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PFE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,490.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $25.88 405 $10,481.40 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 10:50am ET $25.83 405 $10,463.17 $10,472.69 $-18.23
(-0.2%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 12:15pm ET $26.27 398 $10,457.45 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 1:35pm ET $26.24 398 $10,443.52 $10,458.76 $-13.93
(-0.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 2:30pm ET $26.03 401 $10,440.03 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 2:40pm ET $26.08 401 $10,460.08 $10,478.81 +$20.05
(+0.2%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 3:40pm ET $25.63 408 $10,455.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $25.52 408 $10,412.16 $10,435.97 $-42.84
(-0.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $25.50 409 $10,427.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 11:20am ET $25.44 409 $10,404.96 $10,413.47 $-22.50
(-0.2%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 1:45pm ET $25.68 405 $10,400.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 2:35pm ET $25.71 405 $10,412.51 $10,425.58 +$12.11
(+0.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:55pm ET $26.00 400 $10,402.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $26.03 400 $10,414.00 $10,437.58 +$12.00
(+0.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:50am ET $25.55 408 $10,423.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:20am ET $25.61 408 $10,448.88 $10,462.88 +$25.30
(+0.2%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:05pm ET $26.10 400 $10,440.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $26.26 400 $10,506.00 $10,528.88 +$66.00
(+0.6%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 1:40pm ET $26.15 402 $10,510.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 1:50pm ET $26.19 402 $10,530.39 $10,548.98 +$20.10
(+0.2%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $26.05 404 $10,524.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:25am ET $25.99 404 $10,497.94 $10,522.72 $-26.26
(-0.2%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
18.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 2:00pm ET $26.08 403 $10,512.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:40pm ET $26.10 403 $10,520.31 $10,530.78 +$8.06
(+0.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:45am ET $25.11 419 $10,521.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 10:55am ET $25.11 419 $10,523.18 $10,532.87 +$2.09
(+0.0%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,532.87
Net Profit/Loss: +$532.87
Total Return: +5.33%
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