Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:05:23

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
56.4 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+0.2%
EMA20 Dist
+1.5%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
77%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.0/35
Total Return
5.4/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 18.8/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 18.8

30-Day Momentum

17
-0.9%
30d Return
64%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.9 Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,736
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,448.79
Current Value
$10,352.33
Period P&L
$-96.40
Max Drawdown
-11.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
7 / 4
Best Trade
+1.42%
Worst Trade
-2.20%
Avg Trade Return
-0.08%
Avg Hold Time
2.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$225,156.68
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-96.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$-96.40
Gross Return
-0.92%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.92%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PFE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,448.79 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $27.53 379 $10,433.87
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 12:15pm ET $26.92 379 $10,204.57 $10,219.43 $-229.30
(-2.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $27.12 376 $10,197.12
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 12:50pm ET $27.01 376 $10,157.64 $10,179.95 $-39.48
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:45pm ET $27.17 374 $10,163.45
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $27.24 374 $10,187.76 $10,204.26 +$24.31
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 1:45pm ET $27.18 375 $10,194.37
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 2:25pm ET $27.24 375 $10,213.13 $10,223.01 +$18.75
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 12:55pm ET $27.74 368 $10,206.48
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 1:40pm ET $27.78 368 $10,223.04 $10,239.57 +$16.56
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 2:10pm ET $27.42 373 $10,225.80
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 2:35pm ET $27.47 373 $10,246.31 $10,260.08 +$20.51
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $26.75 383 $10,247.16
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:00pm ET $26.45 383 $10,130.31 $10,143.23 $-116.85
(-1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $26.90 377 $10,141.30
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET $27.03 377 $10,190.31 $10,192.24 +$49.01
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:30am ET $26.45 385 $10,183.25
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 11:25am ET $26.83 385 $10,327.63 $10,336.62 +$144.38
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
10 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $26.51 389 $10,314.33
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:40am ET $26.50 389 $10,310.44 $10,332.73 $-3.89
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
11 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 12:30pm ET $26.33 392 $10,319.40
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 1:15pm ET $26.38 392 $10,339.00 $10,352.33 +$19.60
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,352.33
Net Profit/Loss: +$352.33
Total Return: +3.52%
Back to Professor Mean