Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:08:35

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

53
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
22.2/35
Total Return
15.4/25
Win Rate
8.0/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 53.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 53.0

30-Day Momentum

20
-8.5%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
15
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 20.0 Conf: 1.00×
Declining (-33 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,724
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$18,710.80
Current Value
$17,119.66
Period P&L
$-1,591.21
Max Drawdown
-11.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
10 / 5
Best Trade
+3.20%
Worst Trade
-9.88%
Avg Trade Return
-0.54%
Avg Hold Time
5.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$531,708.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,591.21
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,591.21
Gross Return
-8.50%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.50%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $18,710.80 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET $147.67 126 $18,606.42
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:10pm ET $147.94 126 $18,640.44 $18,744.89 +$34.02
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 12:20pm ET $145.43 128 $18,615.04
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:50am ET $131.07 128 $16,776.32 $16,906.17 $-1,838.72
(-9.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET $123.77 136 $16,832.79
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:35am ET $127.72 136 $17,370.60 $17,443.98 +$537.81
(+3.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:00pm ET $135.78 128 $17,379.84
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:05pm ET $135.56 128 $17,351.68 $17,415.82 $-28.16
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET $140.68 123 $17,303.03
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 10:35am ET $141.91 123 $17,454.93 $17,567.73 +$151.91
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 12:20pm ET $146.35 120 $17,561.40
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 12:55pm ET $147.30 120 $17,676.00 $17,682.33 +$114.60
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 3:00pm ET $145.47 121 $17,601.87
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 3:20pm ET $145.74 121 $17,635.14 $17,715.60 +$33.27
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $145.46 121 $17,600.66
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $149.24 121 $18,058.64 $18,173.58 +$457.98
(+2.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $149.73 121 $18,117.33
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET $147.74 121 $17,877.11 $17,933.36 $-240.22
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:55am ET $140.64 127 $17,861.28
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 11:05am ET $140.93 127 $17,898.11 $17,970.19 +$36.83
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 11:45am ET $143.11 125 $17,888.75
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 1:15pm ET $143.32 125 $17,915.00 $17,996.44 +$26.25
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $141.18 127 $17,929.91
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $139.03 127 $17,656.81 $17,723.34 $-273.10
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET $136.70 129 $17,634.30
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:05am ET $138.05 129 $17,808.45 $17,897.49 +$174.15
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
14 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 12:50pm ET $143.23 124 $17,759.90
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 12:55pm ET $144.10 124 $17,868.40 $18,005.99 +$108.50
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
15 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 3:15pm ET $147.19 122 $17,957.18
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $139.93 122 $17,070.85 $17,119.66 $-886.33
(-4.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,119.66
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,119.66
Total Return: +71.20%
Back to Professor Mean