Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 05:16:13

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

49
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
18.8/35
Total Return
14.9/25
Win Rate
8.1/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 49.2/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 48.9

30-Day Momentum

17
-7.8%
30d Return
64%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.9 Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-32 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$17,396.92
Current Value
$16,030.99
Period P&L
$-1,366.00
Max Drawdown
-11.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.39

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
7 / 4
Best Trade
+1.03%
Worst Trade
-4.95%
Avg Trade Return
-0.73%
Avg Hold Time
4.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$368,189.72
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,366.00
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,366.00
Gross Return
-7.85%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.85%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $17,396.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 10:15am ET $135.50 128 $17,344.00
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 11:15am ET $136.21 128 $17,435.52 $17,488.51 +$91.52
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
2 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 2:55pm ET $136.60 128 $17,485.44
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $133.18 128 $17,047.68 $17,050.75 $-437.76
(-2.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 2:50pm ET $155.50 109 $16,949.50
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 3:15pm ET $156.07 109 $17,011.63 $17,112.88 +$62.13
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $157.10 108 $16,966.80
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 11:40am ET $152.20 108 $16,437.06 $16,583.14 $-529.74
(-3.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 3:00pm ET $141.90 116 $16,459.82
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:45pm ET $142.27 116 $16,503.90 $16,627.22 +$44.08
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $141.20 117 $16,520.40
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:40am ET $139.60 117 $16,332.62 $16,439.44 $-187.78
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $135.15 121 $16,353.15
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:45am ET $136.26 121 $16,487.46 $16,573.75 +$134.31
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET $131.13 126 $16,521.75
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:45am ET $132.47 126 $16,691.22 $16,743.22 +$169.47
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET $128.65 130 $16,724.50
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 10:55am ET $129.21 130 $16,796.65 $16,815.37 +$72.15
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 1:00pm ET $133.58 125 $16,697.50
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 2:25pm ET $133.93 125 $16,741.87 $16,859.74 +$44.37
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $134.04 125 $16,755.00
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 11:05am ET $127.41 125 $15,926.25 $16,030.99 $-828.75
(-4.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
21h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,030.99
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,030.99
Total Return: +60.31%
Back to Professor Mean