Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:30:40

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
31.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-4.6%
EMA20 Dist
-3.6%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
21%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.2/35
Total Return
7.7/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 27.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 27.4

30-Day Momentum

50
+2.1%
30d Return
77%
Win Rate
13
Trades
6.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 52.1 Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+22 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,753
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,510.18
Current Value
$10,736.41
Period P&L
$226.21
Max Drawdown
-4.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.78

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
10 / 3
Best Trade
+0.73%
Worst Trade
-0.26%
Avg Trade Return
+0.17%
Avg Hold Time
52m

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$268,643.71
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$226.21
Net P&L (after fees)
$226.21
Gross Return
+2.15%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.15%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 QQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,510.18 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET $585.32 17 $9,950.44
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:30pm ET $587.15 17 $9,981.55 $10,541.31 +$31.11
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $582.10 18 $10,477.75
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $586.33 18 $10,554.02 $10,617.58 +$76.27
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:55am ET $610.78 17 $10,383.26
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 1:50pm ET $610.43 17 $10,377.39 $10,611.71 $-5.87
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:45pm ET $631.95 16 $10,111.20
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 1:30pm ET $633.10 16 $10,129.60 $10,630.11 +$18.40
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 2:10pm ET $638.34 16 $10,213.44
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:00pm ET $639.36 16 $10,229.76 $10,646.43 +$16.32
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET $646.71 16 $10,347.36
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 12:10pm ET $645.05 16 $10,320.80 $10,619.87 $-26.56
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 1:05pm ET $644.72 16 $10,315.57
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:40pm ET $646.19 16 $10,339.04 $10,643.34 +$23.47
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 3:05pm ET $652.86 16 $10,445.76
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:10pm ET $653.75 16 $10,460.00 $10,657.58 +$14.24
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET $662.50 16 $10,600.00
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 11:45am ET $662.47 16 $10,599.52 $10,657.10 $-0.48
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $656.82 16 $10,509.04
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:40am ET $658.20 16 $10,531.20 $10,679.26 +$22.16
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:10am ET $658.81 16 $10,540.95
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:50am ET $660.52 16 $10,568.32 $10,706.63 +$27.37
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:45pm ET $673.65 15 $10,104.75
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:15pm ET $674.86 15 $10,122.90 $10,724.78 +$18.15
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
13 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 12:40pm ET $680.61 15 $10,209.22
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 1:05pm ET $681.39 15 $10,220.85 $10,736.41 +$11.63
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,736.41
Net Profit/Loss: +$736.41
Total Return: +7.36%
Back to Professor Mean