Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:58:28

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
53.6 neutral
20d Trend
-3.7%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+1.1%
ATR%
2.8%
Range Pos
81%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.2/35
Total Return
10.3/25
Win Rate
8.7/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 30.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 29.8

30-Day Momentum

23
+0.0%
30d Return
77%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 24.3 Conf: 0.95×
Cooling (-7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,715
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,611.63
Current Value
$11,616.54
Period P&L
$4.89
Max Drawdown
-13.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
10 / 3
Best Trade
+0.91%
Worst Trade
-1.40%
Avg Trade Return
+0.00%
Avg Hold Time
1.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$293,379.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4.89
Net P&L (after fees)
$4.89
Gross Return
+0.04%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.04%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 REGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,611.63 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:10pm ET $761.04 15 $11,415.60
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:30pm ET $761.52 15 $11,422.80 $11,618.85 +$7.20
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:00pm ET $754.63 15 $11,319.45
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:45pm ET $757.40 15 $11,360.93 $11,660.33 +$41.48
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $764.15 15 $11,462.25
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:40am ET $771.14 15 $11,567.03 $11,765.10 +$104.77
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:05am ET $753.00 15 $11,295.00
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:15pm ET $742.44 15 $11,136.60 $11,606.70 $-158.40
(-1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
4.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 1:25pm ET $753.49 15 $11,302.35
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 2:15pm ET $754.53 15 $11,317.95 $11,622.30 +$15.60
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:25am ET $749.26 15 $11,238.90
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 11:40am ET $749.34 15 $11,240.10 $11,623.50 +$1.20
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 2:35pm ET $747.91 15 $11,218.65
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:35pm ET $749.96 15 $11,249.40 $11,654.25 +$30.75
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $747.60 15 $11,214.00
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $740.28 15 $11,104.27 $11,544.52 $-109.73
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 11:15am ET $747.65 15 $11,214.75
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 12:25pm ET $748.21 15 $11,223.15 $11,552.92 +$8.40
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 2:00pm ET $757.11 15 $11,356.65
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 2:35pm ET $759.71 15 $11,395.58 $11,591.85 +$38.93
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:25pm ET $742.37 15 $11,135.55
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 2:00pm ET $738.72 15 $11,080.80 $11,537.10 $-54.75
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 1:55pm ET $703.04 16 $11,248.56
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 2:40pm ET $705.10 16 $11,281.60 $11,570.14 +$33.04
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
13 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 10:00am ET $704.09 16 $11,265.44
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 11:00am ET $706.99 16 $11,311.84 $11,616.54 +$46.40
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,616.54
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,616.54
Total Return: +16.17%
Back to Professor Mean