Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:25:20

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 12.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 12.1

30-Day Momentum

65
+7.1%
30d Return
83%
Win Rate
12
Trades
2.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 70.0 Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+53 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,132.42
Current Value
$9,839.26
Period P&L
$706.80
Max Drawdown
-50.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.50

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
11 / 2
Best Trade
+2.42%
Worst Trade
-1.95%
Avg Trade Return
+0.58%
Avg Hold Time
2.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$247,893.90
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$706.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$706.80
Gross Return
+7.74%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.74%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,132.42 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET $13.40 681 $9,124.72
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:15pm ET $13.53 681 $9,213.93 $9,221.67 +$89.21
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $13.85 665 $9,213.57
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:15pm ET $13.97 665 $9,290.05 $9,298.15 +$76.48
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 2:20pm ET $16.73 555 $9,282.38
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:15pm ET $16.83 555 $9,337.88 $9,353.65 +$55.50
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $16.32 573 $9,348.50
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:55am ET $16.71 573 $9,574.83 $9,579.98 +$226.33
(+2.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:00pm ET $18.28 523 $9,563.05
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:05pm ET $18.33 523 $9,583.98 $9,600.90 +$20.92
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:50am ET $16.91 567 $9,585.14
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 11:20am ET $16.58 567 $9,398.03 $9,413.79 $-187.11
(-2.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:10pm ET $17.78 529 $9,405.62
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 1:50pm ET $18.09 529 $9,572.25 $9,580.42 +$166.63
(+1.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $18.08 529 $9,564.32
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 10:25am ET $18.17 529 $9,614.57 $9,630.67 +$50.25
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 12:55pm ET $18.31 525 $9,612.75
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 1:55pm ET $18.43 525 $9,675.59 $9,693.51 +$62.84
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $18.49 524 $9,688.76
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET $18.70 524 $9,798.80 $9,803.55 +$110.04
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:35am ET $17.13 572 $9,798.36
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 11:55am ET $16.85 572 $9,638.20 $9,643.39 $-160.16
(-1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $18.21 529 $9,633.09
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 2:55pm ET $18.48 529 $9,773.28 $9,783.58 +$140.19
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
13 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 1:10pm ET $19.43 503 $9,773.29
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 2:05pm ET $19.54 503 $9,828.97 $9,839.26 +$55.68
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,839.26
Net Profit/Loss: $-160.74
Total Return: -1.61%
Back to Professor Mean