Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:25:32

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
17.7 oversold
20d Trend
-28.4%
5d Trend
-8.8%
EMA20 Dist
-13.1%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
12%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality 11.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 10.9

30-Day Momentum

29
+2.1%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 31.8 Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+19 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,728
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,310.88
Current Value
$8,488.34
Period P&L
$177.49
Max Drawdown
-32.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
7 / 5
Best Trade
+4.11%
Worst Trade
-2.13%
Avg Trade Return
+0.19%
Avg Hold Time
2.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$204,629.07
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$177.49
Net P&L (after fees)
$177.49
Gross Return
+2.14%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.14%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIVN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $8,310.88 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 3:40pm ET $15.28 543 $8,299.75
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $15.35 543 $8,337.76 $8,348.86 +$38.01
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:40pm ET $15.11 552 $8,343.48
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $15.15 552 $8,365.56 $8,370.94 +$22.08
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 2:05pm ET $15.34 545 $8,357.58
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 2:15pm ET $15.43 545 $8,406.63 $8,419.99 +$49.05
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 3:45pm ET $15.82 532 $8,416.29
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $16.47 532 $8,762.04 $8,765.74 +$345.75
(+4.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $17.02 515 $8,765.30
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 10:50am ET $16.96 515 $8,734.45 $8,734.89 $-30.85
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 1:15pm ET $17.05 512 $8,729.60
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 2:35pm ET $17.08 512 $8,745.93 $8,751.22 +$16.33
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $17.49 500 $8,745.00
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 12:25pm ET $17.19 500 $8,595.00 $8,601.22 $-150.00
(-1.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 12:50pm ET $16.39 524 $8,585.74
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 2:10pm ET $16.36 524 $8,575.26 $8,590.74 $-10.48
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $16.45 522 $8,586.90
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 12:10pm ET $16.10 522 $8,404.20 $8,408.04 $-182.70
(-2.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:50am ET $15.96 526 $8,394.96
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:05am ET $16.11 526 $8,473.81 $8,486.89 +$78.85
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
11 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $15.13 560 $8,472.80
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 2:45pm ET $15.21 560 $8,517.60 $8,531.69 +$44.80
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
12 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 12:25pm ET $14.76 578 $8,528.39
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 2:15pm ET $14.68 578 $8,485.04 $8,488.34 $-43.35
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,488.34
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,511.66
Total Return: -15.12%
Back to Professor Mean